Diplomacy
Schiller Institute warns of nuclear war, calls for new global security architecture
At a conference organized by the Schiller Institute in Berlin, a warning was issued that the world is facing the threat of a total nuclear war. Speakers pointed to the collapse of the unipolar order and the rise of a multipolar world led by BRICS, emphasizing that the only way out is a new global architecture that considers the security and development interests of all nations. The conference called for cooperation between BRICS and Europe on projects for Africa’s development, such as the “Oasis Plan” and “Agenda 2063.”
During the international conference held by the Schiller Institute in Berlin, it was warned that the world is on the brink of a total nuclear war and that history is approaching an irreversible point.
The event, titled “Cooperation Between BRICS and Europe to Implement the Oasis Plan and Agenda 2063 for Africa,” addressed the collapse of the unipolar world order and the rise of a multipolar world led by the BRICS nations.
Politicians, academics, and former intelligence officials who spoke at the conference stressed that the only way out of the current geopolitical tensions is to build a new global architecture that respects the security and development interests of all countries.
In her opening speech, Helga Zepp-LaRouche, founder and president of the Schiller Institute, stated that the world has never been closer to a “punctum saliens,” or “turning point,” where a global nuclear war catastrophe could become inevitable.
Zepp-LaRouche argued that the roots of the current crisis date back to 1971, when US President Nixon dismantled the Bretton Woods system, transitioning to unregulated monetary policies. She said that predictions that this process would lead to a new depression, fascism, and world war are being realized today.
“It is possible to intervene in history by having a good plan and mobilizing enough power to implement it,” said Zepp-LaRouche, calling for action against pessimism.
‘Russian-German reconciliation is shattered’
In one of the conference’s most striking speeches, analyst Dmitriy Trenin from the Institute of World Military Economy and Strategy at Moscow’s Higher School of Economics stated that Europe has become the “main adversary” for Russia in the proxy war in Ukraine.
Trenin argued that this situation emerged as Russia began to gain the upper hand in Ukraine and the US, under a potential Trump administration, shifted its focus to Asia. “Europe is trying to consolidate itself as a power center by casting Russia in the role of the enemy at the gate,” he said.
Calling the assumption that Russia would attack Europe “absurd,” Trenin emphasized that the current situation is far more dangerous than the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.
“The Russian-German reconciliation no longer exists; it is shattered, and this is a tragedy. This crisis occurred due to preventable steps, such as NATO’s expansion towards Ukraine, the disregard for the Minsk Agreement, and the sabotage of the peace draft in Istanbul. If we do not make a joint effort at the 11th hour, this crisis will not stop until it is staring into the abyss,” he stated.
The rise of China and the new world order
Chinese academic Professor Zhang Weiwei noted that the world is already multipolar and that the GDP of the BRICS countries, based on purchasing power parity, has surpassed that of the G7.
Criticizing Europe for its dependence on the US and its “deep mistrust” of China, Zhang said, “Europe talks, China does.”
Highlighting China’s successes in areas such as poverty alleviation, infrastructure projects in Africa, and the greening of the Taklamakan Desert, Zhang said that Chinese philosophy is based on the principle of “unite and prosper,” contrary to the West’s “divide and rule” approach.
“Western philosophy says ‘friend or foe,’ while Chinese philosophy says ‘friend or potential friend.’ That is what makes all the difference,” Zhang remarked.
‘A new scramble for Africa is underway’
African speakers, who joined the conference via video message, expressed both hopes and concerns about the continent’s future.
Dr. Naledi Pandor, President of the Nelson Mandela Foundation, said that this conference brought the voice of freedom, justice, and peace to Berlin, in contrast to the historic “Berlin Conference” that endorsed colonialism.
Stating that Africa believes in a multipolar world and a reformed United Nations, Pandor emphasized that the continent’s development plan, “Agenda 2063,” and the Schiller Institute’s “Oasis Plan” complement each other. She stressed that the global community must shift from a conflict-oriented agenda to a development-oriented one.
Kenyan academic Patrick Lumumba took a more critical stance, stating that a “new scramble” is taking place in Africa involving many actors such as the US, China, Russia, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates.
“This situation is reminiscent of the Berlin Conference of 1884. The only difference is that the language is sweeter. Africa is open to manipulation due to its internal divisions and weak institutions,” Lumumba assessed.
Questioning whether multipolarity would mean replacing old hegemons with new ones, Lumumba asked, “Who will be the hegemon within BRICS? China? India? Will African countries be pawns again?”
The war lobby and a call to action
Meanwhile, former CIA analyst Ray McGovern described the structures fueling war in the US as the “Military-Industrial-Congressional-Intelligence-Media-Academia-Think Tank Complex (MICIMATT).”
McGovern stated that the cornerstone of this structure is the media, noting that corporations profiting from war control the media, which is why alternative media networks are of vital importance.
“We must remember the Noah principle: No more prizes for predicting rain. The prizes go to those who build arks,” McGovern said, emphasizing that being informed is not enough; action is required.
Throughout the conference, the prevailing message was that hope should not be lost despite the current dangers and that active efforts must be made for peace.
Helga Zepp-LaRouche concluded her speech with quotes from German poet Friedrich Schiller’s piece Deutsche Größe, stating, “The true victory is not to conquer with the sword, but to liberate minds with the lightning of truth,” and called for a struggle for justice and freedom of reason for all peoples.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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