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China retaliates against EU: Brandy imports targeted

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China decided on Tuesday to impose temporary anti-dumping measures on cognac imports from the European Union. The countermeasures came shortly after the 27-nation bloc imposed tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles (EVs).

China’s Ministry of Commerce announced that an investigation had found that the dumping of brandy from the European Union threatened to cause “significant damage” to its industry.

The Chinese ministry said in a statement that it would make “objective and fair” decisions when the ongoing anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigation into EU pork products is completed.

The ministry also said it was considering raising tariffs on imports of large motor vehicles, which would hit German manufacturers the hardest. German exports of vehicles with engines of 2.5 litres or more to China reached $1.2 billion last year.

The ministry announced that from 11 October, importers of cognac from the EU will have to pay a deposit of between 34.8% and 39.0% of the import value.

France was seen as a target of Beijing’s brandy investigation because of its support for tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles. Brandy shipments from France to China reached $1.7 billion last year, accounting for 99% of the country’s alcoholic beverage imports.

This announcement clearly shows that China is determined to tax us in response to European decisions on electric vehicles,’ French cognac producers’ group BNIC said in an emailed response to Reuters, adding that everything must be done to prevent the imposition of tariffs.

French President Emmanuel Macron told a conference in Berlin last week that China’s cognac probe was unfounded, while tariffs on electric vehicles were necessary to maintain a level playing field, describing Beijing’s investigation as ‘pure retaliation’.

The EU Commission did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Stock falls

Hennessy and Remy Martin, owned by LVMH, were among the brands most affected by the measures, with importers having to pay deposits of 39.0% and 38.1% respectively.

The deposits will make it more expensive to import spirits from the EU. However, these deposits may be refunded if an agreement is reached before the final tariffs are imposed.

Shares in Pernod Ricard fell by 4.2%, Remy Cointreau by 8.7% and Hennessy owner LVMH by 4.9%.

Companies that cooperated with the Chinese investigation were subject to a 34.8% penalty, while Martell had the lowest penalty at 30.6%.

Pernod Ricard, Remy Cointreau and LVMH did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Jefferies analysts said the measures could mean a 20 per cent price increase for Chinese consumers and a 20 per cent reduction in sales volumes.

Remy’s sales, which are most exposed to the Chinese market, could fall by 6 per cent, while Pernod Group’s sales could be hit by 1.6 per cent, they said.

Luxury goods stocks fell as much as 7 per cent on Tuesday, with one trader attributing this to fears that the sector, which is heavily dependent on China, could see the next round of trade measures.

The spirits measures follow the EU’s decision to impose tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles by the end of October.

Before the vote in late August, China had suspended its planned anti-dumping measures on EU brandy, ostensibly as a goodwill gesture, even though it had found that EU brandy was being sold in China at below-market prices.

At the time, the Ministry of Commerce said the investigation would end before 5 January 2025, but that it could be extended.

China’s Ministry of Commerce previously said it had found that European distillers were selling brandy at a dumping margin of between 30.6% and 39% in the consumer market of 1.4 billion people, causing damage to the domestic industry.

In the EU’s decision to impose tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles, the bloc set tariff rates ranging from 7.8% for Tesla to 35.3% for SAIC and other manufacturers deemed uncooperative in its investigation. These rates are in addition to the 10 per cent car import duty.

The European Commission said it was willing to pursue alternative negotiations even after the tariffs were imposed.

ASIA

Syria will not follow Afghanistan’s Taliban model of governance

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In an astonishing statement, Ahmed Shará, also known as Abu Mohamad Jolani, the leader of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) said that he will allow the girls to go to schools and will not turn Syria like Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban.

Jolani, the de facto ruler of Syria, said that he will distance himself from the Taliban’s strict policies on women’s rights, and said that Syria will not follow the Taliban’s mode of governance.  

Jolani, who brought down the government of Bashar al-Assad and also widely welcomed by the Taliban, said that he believes in the education of women and girls and will not make Syria like Afghanistan.

“Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal. The Afghan model cannot be applied here,” Jolani told a BBC reporter.

Jolani says that Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal.

Jolani’s comment came when the Taliban congratulated the HTS-led victory by Jolani over Assad’s regime after years of fighting. The Afghan Foreign Ministry celebrated Jolani’s victory through a statement and hoped Jolani can bring peace and stability in the country.

“It is hoped that the power transition process is advanced in a manner that lays the foundation of a sovereign and serve-oriented Islamic government in the line with the aspiration of the Syrian people; that unifies the entire population without discrimination and retribution through adoption of a general assembly; and a positive foreign policy with world countries the safeguard Syria from a threat of negative rivalries of foreign actors and creates conditions for the return of millions of refugees,” the statement by Taliban Foreign Ministry.

However, Jolan’s position on the rights of women and girls is in great contrast with the current view of the Taliban leadership. Women and girls have been banned from education and work since the return of the Taliban in August 2021, following the collapse of the Republic System and withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan. Girls and women are even banned from medical institutions and visiting public spaces.

Jolani says he has a plan to create a government based institution and a council chosen by the people. 

The situation got worse when the Taliban’s Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice called women’s voices “immodest” compounding their exclusion from public life. This year, it has been marked as three years since girls were banned from pursuing education over sixth grade. Besides that, on December 20, 2022, the Taliban’s Ministry of Higher Education announced that women would be barred from attending public and private universities.    

In an interview with CNN, Jolani said that he has a plan to create a government based on institutions and a “council chosen by the people.”

“When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal,” said Jolani.

“The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”

Moreover, he also said the Syrian people are the “rightful owners” of the country after the ouster of Assad, and declared a “new history” has been written for the entire Middle East.

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Yoon summoned again for questioning on treason charges

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A joint law enforcement team investigating South Korea’s martial law case announced on Friday that it has issued a second summons to ousted President Yoon Suk Yeol, requesting his presence for questioning next week. The inquiry concerns his alleged involvement in the failed implementation of martial law.

The team has scheduled the questioning for 10:00 a.m. next Wednesday at the Corruption Investigation Office for Senior Officials (CIO) headquarters in Gwacheon, located just south of Seoul. This marks the second summons after Yoon refused to cooperate with the initial notice earlier this week.

The decision to hold the questioning on a public holiday appears to be a strategic move by the CIO, likely aimed at addressing security concerns. The office confirmed that the summonses were delivered via express mail and electronically to both Yoon’s residence and the presidential office in Yongsan. Notably, after Yoon’s team refused to accept the first subpoena, the CIO opted against delivering the documents in person for this round.

The investigation focuses on Yoon’s role in the December 3 martial law declaration, which he revoked following a vote in the National Assembly. If Yoon continues to disregard the summons without valid justification, the CIO may seek a court order to detain him for up to 48 hours.

Yoon faces allegations of sedition and abuse of office, charges that have gained traction since his dismissal by parliament last Saturday. His suspension from office remains in effect pending a decision by the Constitutional Court, which will determine whether he is permanently removed or reinstated.

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Xi Jinping champions economic diversification during Macau visit

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During a three-day visit to Macau commemorating the 25th anniversary of its return to Chinese sovereignty from Portugal, President Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of economic diversification and maintaining the “one country, two systems” framework.

Speaking at the swearing-in ceremony for Macau’s new Chief Executive Officer, Sam Hou-fai, Xi urged the administration to make economic diversification the city’s primary focus. Sam, the fourth leader since the 1999 handover and the first mainland-born Chinese official to hold the position, is expected to align closely with Beijing’s objectives to reduce Macau’s reliance on gambling. The gambling industry, which accounts for approximately 80% of Macau’s tax revenue, has been the cornerstone of its rapid economic growth in recent years.

“Macau should prioritize proper economic diversification,” Xi stated, calling for enhanced policy support and investment in emerging sectors. He also reiterated the significance of the “one country, two systems” principle, stressing its role in ensuring the city’s “prosperity and stability” for the long term.

Xi’s visit included stops at the Macau University of Science and Technology, where he explored laboratories focusing on traditional Chinese medicine and planetary science. He also attended a cultural performance at the Macau Dome and met with local stakeholders, according to Chinese state media. His trip marked a shift in tone, with Anthony Lawrence, founder of Intelligence Macau, noting that it was the first time Xi publicly praised Macau for its progress rather than delivering critiques or instructions.

Since the liberalization of Macau’s gaming monopoly in 2002, the city has attracted significant foreign investment, including from prominent US casino operators such as Las Vegas Sands, MGM, and Wynn Resorts. However, the economy struggled during the COVID-19 pandemic due to travel restrictions, and recovery has only recently begun.

On Friday, Macau’s casinos were bustling with visitors, while non-gaming initiatives like a stamp exhibition co-organized by MGM China and Beijing’s Palace Museum showcased the city’s efforts to diversify its offerings.

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