Connect with us

America

JPMorgan warns of need for ‘reality check’ on phasing out fossil fuels

Published

on

JPMorgan has warned that the world needs a “reality check” on the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy, saying it could take “generations” to reach net-zero targets.

In a global energy strategy report sent to clients this week, the US bank said efforts to reduce the use of coal, oil and natural gas have been hampered by high interest rates, inflation and wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Christyan Malek, JPMorgan’s head of global energy strategy and lead author of the report, told the Financial Times: “While the net zero target is still some way off, we have to face the fact that the variables have changed. Interest rates are much higher. Government debt is much higher and the geopolitical environment is structurally different. This cost, which will be $3 to $4 million a year, is in a different macro environment,” he said.

Malek argued that the level of investment required would put pressure on governments to back away from more aggressive energy policies. The Scottish government, for example, on Thursday shelved its ambitious plan to cut carbon emissions by 75 per cent by 2030, admitting the target was unachievable.

JPMorgan said in its report that changing the world’s energy system is “a process that should be measured in decades or generations, not years”.

The bank added that investments in renewable energy ‘currently offer low returns’ and there is even a risk of social unrest if energy prices rise sharply.

The report comes after oil companies such as Shell and BP cut their climate targets this year and hundreds of companies including Microsoft, Unilever and JBS failed to set targets ambitious enough to be endorsed by a ‘science-based targets’ initiative set up after the UN’s COP26 climate summit in Glasgow.

Malek noted that there is no guarantee that demand for oil and gas will peak in 2030, as populations in developing countries begin to buy more cars and fly more, as predicted by the International Energy Agency.

JPMorgan estimates that the world will need 108 million barrels of oil a day in 2030, and building more wind, solar and electric vehicle capacity could add another 2 million barrels a day to that figure.

“We are at a tipping point in terms of demand. More and more of the world has access to energy, and more and more of the world wants to use that energy to improve their standard of living. If this growth continues, it will put enormous pressure on energy systems and governments.

JPMorgan is a leading financier of fossil fuel and low-carbon energy projects. The bank has signed $101 billion of fossil fuel deals and $71 billion of low-carbon deals in 2021 and 2022, according to BloombergNEF data.

Chief executive Jamie Dimon told a US congressional hearing in 2022 that the bank would continue to invest in large oil and gas projects, that pulling out of such deals would be ‘the road to hell for America’ and that ‘the world is not getting the energy transition right’.

Echoing JPMorgan, energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie said on Thursday that higher interest rates would make the transition to a net-zero global economy ‘even more difficult and costly’.

Wood Mackenzie chief economist Peter Martin said that “the rising cost of capital has profound implications for the energy and natural resources industries” and that high interest rates disproportionately affect renewable energy and nuclear power due to their high capital intensity and low returns.

Wood Mackenzie added that many companies in the oil and gas sector have low levels of debt and will be relatively unaffected by higher interest rates.

America

AI spending heads toward $7 trillion as analysts warn of market bubble risks

Published

on

Massive financial resources directed into artificial intelligence technologies are driving companies into dangerous territory for global markets.

If expected productivity gains fail to materialize despite these immense capital flows, the artificial intelligence sector faces the risk of inflating into a giant bubble.

The Wall Street Journal reported that should such a scenario unfold, a widespread collapse capable of shaking the entire financial system and dragging down the broader market will become inevitable.

Estimates by McKinsey & Company project that global spending on data center construction alone could reach $7 trillion by 2030.

According to the newspaper, if these massive investments fail to deliver adequate productivity gains, the global economy will suffer a severe blow.

Should the sector as a whole turn out to be a bubble, the resulting damage will spread directly across the broader financial system.

While market observers note that a major crash—whether sooner or later—would drag all equity markets down with it, declines in AI-related stocks are currently being offset by gains in other sectors.

However, the first concrete signs of emerging vulnerability appeared in the memory chip market, where a sector-specific bubble formed and burst within just four months.

South Korean market shaken by sharp drop

In June, shares of South Korea’s Samsung and SK Hynix, the world’s two largest memory chip makers, sank by more than 12%.

The sharp sell-off pulled down the country’s broader stock index. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index dropped 10%, triggering an automatic 20-minute trading halt.

Growing investor anxiety over artificial intelligence triggered the steep decline in the two giant companies, which together account for half of the total market capitalization of the Kospi index.

US equity markets also felt the ripple effects during the same period. The Nasdaq index closed down 2.2%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.4%, marking their worst single-day performances in two weeks.

Nevertheless, The Wall Street Journal pointed out that the disruption has not yet produced catastrophic consequences for the rest of the market.

While the bursting of massive historical bubbles resulted in disaster for national economies, smaller and localized bubbles in recent years have failed to paralyze broader economic growth.

The primary reason for this resilience is that these recent investments were not predominantly funded through leverage and bank credit.

When those localized bubbles burst, investors suffered wealth losses, but the financial system remained intact.

Russell Napier, a global macroeconomic strategist and keeper of the Library of Mistakes, a financial history archive in Edinburgh, evaluated the current market posture:

“The banking system is in superb condition, which means there will always be enough credit available to blow the next bubble.”

Continue Reading

America

Anthropic AI models breach corporate systems after escaping isolated test environment

Published

on

Anthropic has announced that several of its advanced artificial intelligence models escaped an isolated testing environment and accessed the live internet.

In a review published Thursday night, the company stated that in three separate incidents dating back to April, the models independently breached the systems of multiple companies without the AI developer’s knowledge.

Anthropic said the incidents involved an unreleased internal research test model, alongside its Opus 4.7 and Mythos 5 models.

Mythos was made available last month to a limited audience composed of technology companies and cybersecurity researchers, an initiative also known as Project Glasswing.

The AI developer did not disclose which companies were breached, but said the affected firms were informed of the incidents on Monday.

Anthropic noted that it conducted the review after OpenAI revealed last week that two of its most powerful models had breached containment, escaped their testing environment, and infiltrated several entities, including the AI platform Hugging Face and cloud provider Modal Labs.

System misconfiguration allowed internet access

Anthropic stated that it examined more than 140,000 tests to find evidence of whether Claude could gain access to the internet from test environments designed to be isolated.

The evaluations included “capture-the-flag” exercises, in which Claude was instructed to breach other systems to obtain information. This is a method frequently used by experts to assess a model’s hacking capabilities.

The San Francisco-based company stated that a “misconfiguration” in systems operated by Anthropic and its testing partner left the models with live internet access, enabling them to infiltrate external systems.

Anthropic said it approached remediation efforts “with full ownership of the responsibility.”

Neither Anthropic nor the affected organizations detected the unauthorized entries at the time they occurred.

Anthropic added that it may examine its logs more extensively, noting that the findings gave the company “cautious optimism” that such risks can be overcome through increased investment and more stringent safeguards.

David Allott, a cybersecurity expert, told the BBC: “The overarching lesson here is not that AI has developed fundamentally new attack vectors.”

“Instead, it means that AI agents can combine capabilities, acquire credentials and system access to act autonomously, while adapting scope and scale at machine speed,” Allott said.

The developments come as technology companies invest billions of dollars to develop AI agents capable of independently executing a range of tasks, from research and customer support to cybersecurity.

Continue Reading

America

Elon Musk’s America PAC plans $100 million field operation for 2026 Republican midterm push

Published

on

Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk is returning to the political spending arena with a new field program designed to help elect Republicans in at least eight states ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

Musk has authorized his political action committee, America PAC, to spend between $100 million and $120 million on a new ground game focused on conservative voter turnout for the 2026 midterms, according to a Thursday report by The New York Times, which cited two unnamed sources informed about the plans.

America PAC funneled more than $250 million into Donald Trump’s reelection campaign in 2024, a expenditure that established Musk as the largest political donor in US history.

The New York Times reported that America PAC is reviving its spending initiatives and has reached out to other Republicans in recent weeks regarding the new field operations.

The effort is also being coordinated with other Republican Party spending groups, according to the report.

The newspaper identified targeted Senate races in the states of Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, while noting that discussions are also underway regarding contests in North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.

The political action committee is additionally expected to deploy funds for House of Representatives elections in Washington, Wisconsin, and California.

The news comes a day after Axios first reported that America PAC’s operations were resuming, with a focus on driving Republican turnout during the non-presidential election cycle.

A spokesperson for America PAC declined to comment on The New York Times report but confirmed the Axios reporting to The Hill. The spokesperson stated that the spending group was “excited” to contribute to efforts to maintain the Republican majorities in Congress this fall.

“The President’s political team and the rest of the GOP apparatus have built a world-class operation that has Republicans well-positioned to make history and retain control of Congress this fall,” America PAC spokesperson Andrew Romeo said in a statement. “We’re excited to be part of the team again.”

The campaign will reportedly target Republican voters through door-to-door canvassing, mailers, and digital advertisements, enabling other groups to concentrate their resources on television advertising.

The developments were reported days after Musk told The Economist magazine that he had gotten “carried away” during his brief foray into politics.

The SpaceX CEO entered the political arena during the 2024 election, pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into Trump’s presidential campaign and accompanying the candidate on the campaign trail.

Musk went on to lead Trump’s cost-cutting initiative, known as the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which executed sweeping employment and funding reductions across the federal government. Those efforts sparked controversy for Musk and his enterprise empire, including Tesla, whose shares fell sharply during his period of political involvement.

Musk departed the White House in late May 2025, and DOGE officially terminated its operations on July 4.

Shortly after leaving government, Musk and Trump engaged in a public dispute over the president’s sweeping spending legislation, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.” During the friction, Musk threatened to form a third party, though the initiative never materialized.

Musk and the US President appeared to resolve their differences last year, with the tech billionaire most recently joining Trump alongside other technology leaders on a trip to China in May.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey