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New findings in Trump assassination attempt

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New findings are emerging in Donald Trump assassination attempt, former US president and Republican candidate in November’s presidential election.

While the gunman’s motivation remains a mystery a day after the attack, investigators said they “believe he acted alone”.

Biden ordered an “independent security review” of the attack, which killed one bystander and seriously injured two others, and raised questions about how a gunman was able to open fire from a rooftop near a campaign rally in Pennsylvania.

Shooter and police officer confronted before attack

The FBI is also investigating the attack as a “possible act of domestic terrorism”.

Two law enforcement officials told the Associated Press (AP) that the shooter’s father owned an AR-style rifle and that some rally-goers pointed him out to local law enforcement as he perched on a nearby rooftop.

A local law enforcement officer then climbed to the roof and found Thomas Matthew Crooks, who then pointed his rifle at the officer, the AP reports.

The officer retreated from the ladder and the gunman quickly fired in Trump’s direction, authorities said. Officials suggested that armed US Secret Service agents shot the gunman at that point.

FBI finds it ‘surprising’ that attacker fired so close

There are also many questions about how the gunman was able to get so close to Trump in the first place.

Kevin Rojek, agent in charge of the FBI’s Pittsburgh field office, said it was “amazing” that the attacker was able to open fire on the stage before being killed by Secret Service agents.

Authorities said bomb-making materials were found in Crooks’ vehicle and home. The FBI described the devices as “primitive”.

What was Crooks’ political motivation?

US authorities say they still do not know the motive of the gunman, Crooks.

According to AP, Crooks was not on the FBI’s radar and is believed to have acted alone.

Investigators have examined Crooks’ social media accounts, but have not found any directly threatening posts or communications indicating an ideological motive.

Crooks’ political leanings are also unclear. Data shows he is a registered Republican voter in Pennsylvania, but federal campaign finance reports also show he donated $15 to a liberal political action committee on 20 January 2021, the day Biden was sworn in.

Clash between Republicans and Homeland Security Secretary

On the other hand, Republican Mike Turner, chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, told CNN’s State of the Union on Sunday that questions have been raised about how the attacker was able to evade security at the rally.

Republican Representative Mike Waltz claimed on X on Saturday that Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas had denied Trump’s requests for increased Secret Service protection.

Secret Service spokesman Anthony Guglielmi denied the “untrue allegation” in a message posted on X on Sunday, saying: “This is absolutely false. In fact, we have added protective resources, technology and capabilities as part of the increased pace of campaign travel,” he said.

Attack to be investigated by Congress

Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson pledged on Saturday that the House would “conduct a full investigation” into the shooting. House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer said on Saturday that the committee had subpoenaed Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle for a hearing and requested a briefing from the Secret Service.

Republican Representative Tim Burchett called for congressional hearings into the assassination.

Burchett said Republicans should skip this week’s Republican National Convention (RNC) in Milwaukee and instead return to Washington to investigate the shooting.

In an interview with Fox News, Burchett said: “We need to go to Washington. The hell with the convention,” he said.

AMERICA

Fed cuts interest rates, dollar surges to two-year high

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The U.S. Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by a quarter percentage point but signaled a slower pace of easing next year. This move drove the U.S. dollar to its highest level in two years and triggered a sell-off in both domestic and international stock markets.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted on Wednesday to lower the benchmark interest rate to 4.25–4.5%, marking the third consecutive cut. The lone dissenting vote came from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, who favored maintaining the current rates.

Officials highlighted concerns about persistent inflation, projecting fewer rate cuts for 2025 than previously expected. Reflecting these worries, policymakers also raised their inflation forecasts for the coming year. Following the announcement, Fed Chair Jay Powell remarked that the current policy settings were “significantly less restrictive,” indicating the Fed’s inclination to adopt a more cautious approach to further easing.

“This decision was a ‘closer call’ than prior meetings,” Powell noted, emphasizing that inflation trends remain “sideways” while risks to the labor market are “diminishing.”

Aditya Bhave, senior U.S. economist at Bank of America, described the Fed’s message as “unabashedly hawkish.” He pointed to the shift in officials’ 2025 forecasts, which now anticipate just two quarter-point rate cuts instead of three, calling it a “wholesale shift.”

JPMorgan Chase, a key player in U.S. bond markets, noted that money markets are pricing in only a 0.31 percentage point rate cut in 2025. This outlook, significantly tighter than the bank’s earlier 0.75-point forecast, underscores the magnitude of the Fed’s policy shift.

The decision triggered a sharp sell-off on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 falling 3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropping 3.6%. High-profile winners of the 2024 rally were hit hard, including: Tesla, down 8.3%; Meta (Facebook’s parent company), down 3.6%; Amazon, down 4.6%.

Smaller companies, often seen as more sensitive to US economic fluctuations, also suffered. The Russell 2000 index declined 4.4%.

In Asia, stocks fell in early Thursday trading. Benchmarks in South Korea and Taiwan dropped 1.8% and 1.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, U.S. government bond prices fell, driving the yield on two-year Treasuries—sensitive to Fed policy—up by 0.11 percentage points to 4.35%.

The U.S. dollar surged 1.2% against a basket of six major currencies, reaching its strongest level since November 2022. According to Wells Fargo senior economist Mike Pugliese, the currency had already been rising on expectations of inflationary pressures following Donald Trump’s election victory last month. However, Wednesday’s Fed decision “poured more petrol on the fire.”

The South Korean won dropped to a 15-year low against the dollar, while the Japanese yen weakened 0.5%.

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Amazon pledges $1 billion to Trump inauguration fund

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Amazon confirmed on Thursday that it will contribute $1 million to Donald Trump’s inauguration fund, a move mirroring similar actions by other major tech companies, including Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram. Amazon also plans to broadcast Trump’s inauguration via its Prime Video service.

This announcement comes as major tech executives seek to establish ties with the incoming U.S. president, despite Trump’s longstanding criticisms of Big Tech. Trump has frequently accused technology companies of censorship and bias against conservative media.

Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s founder and CEO, is reportedly planning to meet Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort next week, according to The Wall Street Journal, which first reported Amazon’s donation. Similarly, Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Apple CEO Tim Cook have expressed their congratulations to Trump since his election victory in November.

Trump’s relationship with Amazon has been fraught with challenges. During his first term, he accused the company of undercutting competition and criticized its tax policies. In 2018, Trump ordered a review of U.S. Postal Service package pricing, claiming the agency acted as Amazon’s “courier.”

Apple, meanwhile, faces potential risks from Trump’s proposed tariff policies, which could disrupt critical supply chains in China. However, during Trump’s first term, Cook secured exemptions for certain Apple products.

Meta’s CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, and other tech leaders have also engaged with Trump. According to The Information, Zuckerberg dined with Trump after the election. Pichai is also expected to meet Trump this week.

While Trump scrutinized Big Tech during his presidency, Amazon now faces mounting regulatory pressure under President Joe Biden. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC), led by Lina Khan, has been investigating Amazon for alleged monopoly practices, with several states filing lawsuits last year. The FTC is also examining major cloud service providers, including Amazon, over partnerships in artificial intelligence.

Despite earlier conflicts, Bezos recently praised Trump for his “tremendous grace and courage under real fire” in a post on X (formerly Twitter) following an assassination attempt. Bezos, who also owns The Washington Post, reportedly prevented the newspaper from endorsing Trump’s Democratic opponent Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.

Speculation about a tacit agreement between Bezos and Trump has surfaced, allegedly tied to Blue Origin, Bezos’s rocket company competing with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

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Investors poured $140 billion into U.S. equities following Trump’s victory

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Nearly $140 billion has flowed into U.S. equity funds since last month’s election, as investors anticipate Donald Trump’s administration will implement sweeping tax cuts and regulatory reforms.

According to the Financial Times (FT), which cites data from EPFR, U.S. equity funds have seen inflows totaling $139.5 billion since Trump’s victory on November 5. This surge in investment made November the busiest month for equity inflows since records began in 2000.

The massive influx of funds has driven major U.S. stock indexes to a series of record highs, as investors appeared to shrug off concerns about potential economic risks, including inflation and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

“The growth agenda that Trump has put on the table is being fully embraced,” said Dec Mullarkey, Chief Executive of SLC Management. He added that Trump’s picks for top administration posts have been seen as “very market friendly.”

Trump has promised to fill his administration with financial experts, including Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and Paul Atkins, a cryptocurrency advocate, as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The president-elect has outlined a pro-growth agenda, emphasizing reduced taxes, deregulation, and economic expansion. These proposals have spurred optimism among investors, fueling a rally in the market.

The S&P 500, Wall Street’s primary stock market indicator, has risen 5.3% since Election Day, bringing its total gains for the year to 28%. Smaller companies, which are often seen as more responsive to changes in the U.S. economy, have outperformed larger firms during this period. The Russell 2000 index recently hit a record high for the first time in three years.

While U.S. equity funds have enjoyed record inflows, other global markets have experienced outflows emerging market funds have seen net withdrawals of $8 billion, with China-focused funds accounting for $4 billion; funds investing in Western Europe have lost $14 billion; and Japan-focused funds have seen outflows of approximately $6 billion.

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