Connect with us

AMERICA

New trade wars on the horizon: Trump signals return of ‘isolationist’ Lighthizer

Published

on

Robert Lighthizer, who served as U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) during Donald Trump’s first term and was instrumental in initiating the U.S.-China trade war, has been offered a return to the same role.

Sources familiar with Trump’s transition team discussions told Financial Times (FT) that Lighthizer has been asked to resume the USTR position, despite his interest in other posts, including a possible role at the Department of Commerce.

Lighthizer has also expressed interest in the Treasury Secretary position, though this role is expected to go to a financial sector expert, with candidates including hedge fund managers Scott Bessent and John Paulson.

Given Lighthizer’s influence in shaping trade policy during Trump’s first term, particularly with his “isolationist” stance, his potential reappointment could raise concerns in Beijing and among U.S. allies. Trump has previously pledged to impose high tariffs on imported goods, especially those from China.

Although Trump considered Lighthizer for Commerce Secretary, insiders suggest he is more likely to offer this position to Linda McMahon, the billionaire co-chair of Trump’s presidential transition team.

Democrats support Lighthizer’s appointment

Representative Brendan Boyle of Philadelphia, the ranking Democrat on the House Ways and Means Committee—which oversees trade—expressed support for Lighthizer’s appointment. “I worked with Bob Lighthizer on the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) during his tenure as USTR. He was bipartisan in his approach and respected across the political aisle,” Boyle commented.

With three decades at Wall Street firm Skadden Arps, Lighthizer fought for U.S. steel interests against imports from China, representing companies like U.S. Steel. In a recent book, he even praised aspects of Biden’s trade policies, noting, “Our success explains why the Biden administration has continued many of the U.S. trade policy changes that President Trump, and I initiated.”

The ‘missile man’ who faced Japan

Lighthizer was also instrumental in the U.S.-Japan trade war of the 1980s, earning the nickname ‘Missile Man’ for his aggressive negotiation style. During heated talks, he famously folded one of Japan’s proposals into a paper airplane and launched it back at the Japanese delegation. Appointed Deputy USTR in 1983, Lighthizer played a critical role in pressuring Japan to limit exports of steel, cars, and other goods—a strategy he later adapted for renegotiating NAFTA and other trade agreements.

Criticism of free trade and industrial job losses

In the early 2000s, Lighthizer advocated for tariffs on steel imports to protect U.S. industries. Shortly before the recent U.S. election, he wrote an opinion piece in Financial Times blaming free trade for manufacturing job losses and describing the U.S. trade deficit as “alarming.” “Facing a system that is fundamentally failing our country, Trump has resolved to take decisive action,” Lighthizer wrote.

AMERICA

Fed cuts interest rates, dollar surges to two-year high

Published

on

The U.S. Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by a quarter percentage point but signaled a slower pace of easing next year. This move drove the U.S. dollar to its highest level in two years and triggered a sell-off in both domestic and international stock markets.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted on Wednesday to lower the benchmark interest rate to 4.25–4.5%, marking the third consecutive cut. The lone dissenting vote came from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, who favored maintaining the current rates.

Officials highlighted concerns about persistent inflation, projecting fewer rate cuts for 2025 than previously expected. Reflecting these worries, policymakers also raised their inflation forecasts for the coming year. Following the announcement, Fed Chair Jay Powell remarked that the current policy settings were “significantly less restrictive,” indicating the Fed’s inclination to adopt a more cautious approach to further easing.

“This decision was a ‘closer call’ than prior meetings,” Powell noted, emphasizing that inflation trends remain “sideways” while risks to the labor market are “diminishing.”

Aditya Bhave, senior U.S. economist at Bank of America, described the Fed’s message as “unabashedly hawkish.” He pointed to the shift in officials’ 2025 forecasts, which now anticipate just two quarter-point rate cuts instead of three, calling it a “wholesale shift.”

JPMorgan Chase, a key player in U.S. bond markets, noted that money markets are pricing in only a 0.31 percentage point rate cut in 2025. This outlook, significantly tighter than the bank’s earlier 0.75-point forecast, underscores the magnitude of the Fed’s policy shift.

The decision triggered a sharp sell-off on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 falling 3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropping 3.6%. High-profile winners of the 2024 rally were hit hard, including: Tesla, down 8.3%; Meta (Facebook’s parent company), down 3.6%; Amazon, down 4.6%.

Smaller companies, often seen as more sensitive to US economic fluctuations, also suffered. The Russell 2000 index declined 4.4%.

In Asia, stocks fell in early Thursday trading. Benchmarks in South Korea and Taiwan dropped 1.8% and 1.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, U.S. government bond prices fell, driving the yield on two-year Treasuries—sensitive to Fed policy—up by 0.11 percentage points to 4.35%.

The U.S. dollar surged 1.2% against a basket of six major currencies, reaching its strongest level since November 2022. According to Wells Fargo senior economist Mike Pugliese, the currency had already been rising on expectations of inflationary pressures following Donald Trump’s election victory last month. However, Wednesday’s Fed decision “poured more petrol on the fire.”

The South Korean won dropped to a 15-year low against the dollar, while the Japanese yen weakened 0.5%.

Continue Reading

AMERICA

Amazon pledges $1 billion to Trump inauguration fund

Published

on

Amazon confirmed on Thursday that it will contribute $1 million to Donald Trump’s inauguration fund, a move mirroring similar actions by other major tech companies, including Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram. Amazon also plans to broadcast Trump’s inauguration via its Prime Video service.

This announcement comes as major tech executives seek to establish ties with the incoming U.S. president, despite Trump’s longstanding criticisms of Big Tech. Trump has frequently accused technology companies of censorship and bias against conservative media.

Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s founder and CEO, is reportedly planning to meet Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort next week, according to The Wall Street Journal, which first reported Amazon’s donation. Similarly, Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Apple CEO Tim Cook have expressed their congratulations to Trump since his election victory in November.

Trump’s relationship with Amazon has been fraught with challenges. During his first term, he accused the company of undercutting competition and criticized its tax policies. In 2018, Trump ordered a review of U.S. Postal Service package pricing, claiming the agency acted as Amazon’s “courier.”

Apple, meanwhile, faces potential risks from Trump’s proposed tariff policies, which could disrupt critical supply chains in China. However, during Trump’s first term, Cook secured exemptions for certain Apple products.

Meta’s CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, and other tech leaders have also engaged with Trump. According to The Information, Zuckerberg dined with Trump after the election. Pichai is also expected to meet Trump this week.

While Trump scrutinized Big Tech during his presidency, Amazon now faces mounting regulatory pressure under President Joe Biden. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC), led by Lina Khan, has been investigating Amazon for alleged monopoly practices, with several states filing lawsuits last year. The FTC is also examining major cloud service providers, including Amazon, over partnerships in artificial intelligence.

Despite earlier conflicts, Bezos recently praised Trump for his “tremendous grace and courage under real fire” in a post on X (formerly Twitter) following an assassination attempt. Bezos, who also owns The Washington Post, reportedly prevented the newspaper from endorsing Trump’s Democratic opponent Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.

Speculation about a tacit agreement between Bezos and Trump has surfaced, allegedly tied to Blue Origin, Bezos’s rocket company competing with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

Continue Reading

AMERICA

Investors poured $140 billion into U.S. equities following Trump’s victory

Published

on

Nearly $140 billion has flowed into U.S. equity funds since last month’s election, as investors anticipate Donald Trump’s administration will implement sweeping tax cuts and regulatory reforms.

According to the Financial Times (FT), which cites data from EPFR, U.S. equity funds have seen inflows totaling $139.5 billion since Trump’s victory on November 5. This surge in investment made November the busiest month for equity inflows since records began in 2000.

The massive influx of funds has driven major U.S. stock indexes to a series of record highs, as investors appeared to shrug off concerns about potential economic risks, including inflation and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

“The growth agenda that Trump has put on the table is being fully embraced,” said Dec Mullarkey, Chief Executive of SLC Management. He added that Trump’s picks for top administration posts have been seen as “very market friendly.”

Trump has promised to fill his administration with financial experts, including Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and Paul Atkins, a cryptocurrency advocate, as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The president-elect has outlined a pro-growth agenda, emphasizing reduced taxes, deregulation, and economic expansion. These proposals have spurred optimism among investors, fueling a rally in the market.

The S&P 500, Wall Street’s primary stock market indicator, has risen 5.3% since Election Day, bringing its total gains for the year to 28%. Smaller companies, which are often seen as more responsive to changes in the U.S. economy, have outperformed larger firms during this period. The Russell 2000 index recently hit a record high for the first time in three years.

While U.S. equity funds have enjoyed record inflows, other global markets have experienced outflows emerging market funds have seen net withdrawals of $8 billion, with China-focused funds accounting for $4 billion; funds investing in Western Europe have lost $14 billion; and Japan-focused funds have seen outflows of approximately $6 billion.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey