Diplomacy
Schiller Institute forum warns of global nuclear war, urges new security architecture
The Executive Intelligence Review (EIR) and the Schiller Institute convened an emergency international online forum on Tuesday, titled “Epstein and the bottomless depravity of the elites: Urgent need for a cultural renaissance.” Bringing together a diverse panel of international scholars, former legislators, and analysts, the event painted a stark portrait of a global order allegedly on the precipice of thermonuclear conflict, driven by what speakers characterized as the moral and institutional bankruptcy of Western political elites.
The forum, moderated by representatives of the EIR, opened with an urgent assessment that the current global crisis must be comprehended through the lens of long-term historical processes rather than fleeting “current events.” Central to the discussion was the recent military escalation involving the US, Israel, and Iran, which participants described as a catalyst for a potential third world war.
The specter of war and the LaRouche legacy
The forum opened with a retrospective on the geopolitical strategies established nearly two decades ago. Organizers invoked the 2007 disclosure by American General Wesley Clark, who claimed that in the immediate aftermath of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the US military had adopted an objective to “take out seven countries in five years”—a list that included Iraq, Lebanon, Somalia, Sudan, Libya, Syria, and Iran.
Attendees were played a 2007 speech by the late economist and statesman Lyndon LaRouche, who warned at the time: “The time has come to make some history, to make a turning point in history because there is no alternative.” LaRouche cautioned then that the world monetary financial system was in the process of disintegrating and that war with Iran would represent a “different form of World War II,” asserting that the prevailing US political institutions were incompetent to manage the unfolding collapse.
Helga Zepp-LaRouche, founder and chairwoman of the International Schiller Institute and editor-in-chief of Executive Intelligence Review, opened the panel by warning that “it is more than likely that World War III has already begun.”
“With the unprovoked attack by the United States on the Republic of Iran, we have entered now a spiral of escalation which could escalate within a short period of time to a global nuclear war,” Zepp-LaRouche stated. She cited reports indicating that the Pentagon had informed the US Congress prior to the attack that there was no evidence Iran intended to strike the US first.
Zepp-LaRouche drew parallels to the 2003 invasion of Iraq, arguing that the recent hostilities were based on fabricated intelligence regarding Iran’s nuclear capabilities. “The US attack on Iran is a repetition of the US attack on Iraq in 2003, where it is now 100% documented by the testimony of active participants in the process that all relevant US responsibles knew ahead of time that neither did Saddam Hussein possess weapons of mass destruction, nor was there any threat from Iraq to other countries,” she argued.
Institutional degeneration and the ‘law of the jungle’
Professor Zhang Weiwei, Director of the China Institute at Fudan University in Shanghai, argued that current global crises—ranging from the conflicts in the Middle East to the Epstein files and domestic social divisions—are fundamentally interconnected.
“To my mind, they are in fact deeply interconnected,” Zhang stated. “They have challenged the bottom line of human conscience, the foundations of peace and justice, international law, and basic human rights.”
Zhang posited that these crises are the “inevitable outcome” of the alienation of power from the people, the practice of the “law of the jungle,” and widespread moral depravity among Western elites. “The Western democratic model as practiced in the US and in many other countries is trapped in a deep structural crisis—a crisis of institutional degeneration and governance failure, marked by poor leadership, governance incompetence, and moral collapse,” he said.
Regional perspectives: Brazil, India, and the Global South
Professor Beatrice Bisio of the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro emphasized the gravity of the situation for Latin America and the BRICS nations. She characterized the aggression against Iran as an attack on the entire BRICS bloc.
“The truth of the matter is that the aggression against Iran—and we have to understand this—this has been an aggression against the BRICS nation,” Bisio said. She noted the severe consequences of this regional instability, arguing that the “current version of the Monroe Doctrine… finds echoes here within our area.” She called for a massive mobilization of civil society to demand a return to diplomacy.
Professor B.R. Deepak, former Director of the Center of Chinese and Southeast Asian Studies at JNU, New Delhi, focused on the necessity of a “dialogue of civilizations.” He rejected the “clash of civilizations” thesis proposed by Samuel Huntington, noting that history proves civilizations prosper through mutual learning rather than isolation.
“At a time when geopolitical tension threatens international stability, the example of past civilizational dialogue reminds us that cooperation across cultures is not only possible, it is essential,” Deepak asserted.
The US legislative and economic crisis
Former US Congressman Dennis Kucinich, who served from 1997 to 2013, offered a sharp critique of American foreign policy, framing the conflict as a “war of choice.”
“This is a further expression of a long-standing colonial mindset and one that is now tethered to a type of megalomania that is obsessing some of our leaders in the US,” Kucinich stated. He urged the US Congress to utilize the War Powers Resolution or proceed with impeachment to halt the executive branch’s unchecked military actions. “The US Congress must go forward not just with the War Powers Resolution, but this is certainly a cause for impeachment,” he added.
Professor Ding Yifan of the Institute of Global Governance and Development at Renmin University, Beijing, shifted the focus to the economic repercussions of current US policy. Ding argued that the US is risking an economic collapse comparable to, or worse than, the 2008 financial crisis.
“The US economy is on the verge of a crisis… because the New York stock market was relying heavily on these AI companies,” Ding explained. He warned that diverting funds into military actions would “poke the bubble,” forcing an economic contraction. He further noted that protectionist tariffs implemented by the Trump administration had failed to protect domestic manufacturing, instead causing widespread bankruptcies among small and medium-sized businesses by raising costs across global supply chains.
The Epstein nexus and the decline of the West
Namit Verma, an Indian author and security analyst, addressed the panel’s titular theme—the “Epstein” scandal—framing it not merely as a criminal case, but as a mechanism for elite blackmail and the subversion of international governance.
“The Epstein scandal… is representative of the decline of American governance,” Verma contended. He alleged that the scandal was inextricably linked to the manipulation of the United Nations and the erosion of diplomatic independence. “The individual corruption of all who are plenipotentiaries and other significant representatives of participating nations is today a tool which the CIA is a master of,” Verma asserted.
The forum also heard from youth and security representatives from Africa. Timothy Nimsilma, a 25-year-old from Uganda, spoke of the dangers of oligarchic control. “If power is overconcentrated in the hands of the few, the system ends up decaying,” he stated. Kwame Amua, a security expert from South Africa, emphasized the “descent of leadership” and the lack of a moral compass in global governance.
A call for a new paradigm
The forum concluded with a plea for an immediate shift in the global paradigm. Father Harry Bury, a 96-year-old Catholic priest and anti-war activist based in Minnesota, delivered an impassioned argument for “active nonviolence” and development-oriented peace-building.
“The way to have peace is for all nations to be able to equally get what they need,” Bury argued, advocating for the “Oasis Plan,” which seeks to foster peace through the mutual development of infrastructure and resources across the Middle East. “We need to put it in operation right away. It’s about thinking differently.”
In her closing remarks, Helga Zepp-LaRouche issued a final call to action, urging the formation of an “international movement of citizens” that prioritizes the interests of humanity as a whole over narrow geopolitical or nationalistic ambitions.
“If the governments fail, if the establishments turn out to be too corrupt to address the urgent self-interest of humanity as a whole, then our response is that we need an international movement of citizens,” Zepp-LaRouche declared. She advocated for the implementation of a “new security and development architecture,” urging a departure from the “might makes right” doctrine that she and her fellow panelists argued has brought civilization to the brink of annihilation.
Diplomacy
Vance leads indirect push for US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks
US Vice-President JD Vance has been personally involved over the past two weeks in indirect talks with Iran aimed at securing a fresh ceasefire and restarting nuclear negotiations.
According to Axios, Vance’s intense engagement indicates that he has taken it upon himself to extract the US from the conflict, which he views as responsible for the Republican Party’s shocking losses in this week’s elections.
This elevates the latest round of indirect talks to the highest echelons of the administration.
US officials and regional sources state that Trump is currently willing to let diplomatic efforts run their course to see whether any agreement is achievable.
Asked by reporters on Friday what his message was to Iran, Trump said, “We are talking to them.”
According to sources with direct knowledge of the matter, Vance speaks almost daily with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and other mediators regarding the negotiations with Iran.
White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, President Trump’s adviser and son-in-law, are also involved in the process.
Sources say Vance and the Qatari and Pakistani mediators have been discussing the possibility of holding a working-level technical meeting between the US and Iran in the coming days, though this has not yet materialized.
Before the war began in late February, Vance was among the most sceptical voices in Trump’s inner circle on the issue, advocating instead for a diplomatic solution.
In April, he led the US negotiating delegation at the Iran summit held in Islamabad and was personally involved in the talks that yielded a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed between the US and Iran in June.
Vance subsequently headed the US delegation during a series of direct talks with Iran in Switzerland.
Two weeks ago, Vance sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, proposing that direct negotiations resume.
Rezaei is one of the closest advisers to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei.
Iranian officials noted that Vance’s letter generated positive momentum toward restarting talks.
On Wednesday, Vance said the war was the primary reason for the Republicans’ repudiation at the polls.
Sources involved in mediation efforts report that while progress is being made, the process is moving very slowly.
On Friday evening, the prime minister of Qatar said, “Over the past few weeks, we worked with our colleagues in the US administration who have a sincere intention to contain the situation and de-escalate. Thanks to them and the voices of reason in Tehran, we prevented the situation from spinning out of control.”
The prime minister added that discussions with the Trump administration continued following the midterm elections, though they were not as active as in previous days “because there are other matters.”
Nevertheless, he noted that the US intention to find a diplomatic resolution “remains ongoing” and emphasized that an agreement is possible.
On Friday morning, Trump and the Emir of Qatar discussed Qatari efforts to bridge differences between the US and Iran as part of an accord.
According to a statement from his office, Sheikh Tamim emphasized the necessity of “pursuing dialogue and diplomatic channels to resolve differences, prevent the region from facing further escalation, and ensure freedom of maritime navigation as well as the security of energy supplies.”
Separately, Trump confirmed on Friday that the US military conducted a strike on an anti-aircraft missile launcher on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after it fired a missile at a US fighter jet.
Diplomacy
Ukraine faces demographic collapse as fertility rates slide
British magazine The Economist reported that mobilization, conflict casualties, and pervasive uncertainty have left Ukraine confronting the threat of demographic collapse.
According to data cited by the magazine, Ukraine’s fertility rate has declined from 1.2 children per woman in 2020 to between 0.8 and 0.9.
This rate marks a lower level than that of any major nation except South Korea.
In the first half of 2026, the number of deaths in Ukraine surpassed the number of newborn babies threefold.
The report noted that ever since independence was gained in 1991, the number of births in the country has lagged behind the number of deaths every year.
The Economist emphasized that the demographic collapse driven by the ongoing fighting constitutes an “existential threat.”
The magazine identified mass refugee migration as the principal driver of the population loss.
More than 5 million Ukrainians reside abroad, predominantly in Europe.
The proportion of those wishing to return among those who left the country is also steadily shrinking.
According to data from the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES), the share of those seeking to return dropped from 74% in 2022 to 43%.
The fact that the majority of refugees consist of Ukrainian children and women under the age of 44 further aggravates the demographic picture.
The Kyiv government decided to exempt men under the age of 25 from mobilization to alleviate the demographic decline.
The magazine reported, however, that many young people have fled the country, while those who remain do not plan to start families.
Projections cited in the report indicate that even if hostilities cease in the coming years, Ukraine can, at best, expect merely a deceleration of depopulation.
Olga Duhnich, an expert at the Ukraine-based think tank Frontier Institute, stated that the generation born in the 1990s and 2000s is the least populous in Ukraine’s modern history, meaning the country cannot expect a post-conflict baby boom.
The United Nations (UN) projects that Ukraine’s population will decline by 0.7% to 0.9% each year over the next two decades.
Under this projection, Ukraine’s population will fall to approximately 25 million by 2040.
If hostilities drag on, people are expected to abandon plans to have children, deepening the crisis even further.
Beyond exempting men under 25 from mobilization, the Kyiv government is rolling out various support packages to boost birth rates.
Under legislation enacted in the country, parents who have children receive a direct payment of 50,000 hryvnias (around $1,100).
Parents are also paid 7,000 hryvnias each month during the first year.
Other state programmes subsidize childcare costs, while Ukrainian soldiers are granted free freezing of egg and sperm cells.
Ukrainian Minister of Social Policy Denis Ulyutin said in May to the Livyi Bereh media outlet that roughly 22 to 25 million people lived in government-controlled territories.
Ulyutin characterized the prevailing picture by saying: “This is a catastrophe.”
Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Quality of Life Research, estimated the population at 29 million during the same period.
Libanova attributed the steep fall from a population of 30 million in 2025 to high death rates and the demographic crisis.
In a statement in October, Libanova announced that Ukraine’s population had slipped to 28.5 million.
Institute Director Libanova said: “The population is already at 28.5 million; we lost half a million people. We lost them, but thankfully this was still caused by migration rather than casualties.”
Diplomacy
Armenian opposition urged to form joint front against constitution
Narek Karapetyan, a lawmaker and head of the Strong Armenia faction in the Armenian parliament, has urged opposition parties to unite around four core principles set out in a joint declaration.
The key points of the declaration include resisting territorial concessions and blocking the adoption of a new constitution, which the opposition has termed the “Aliyev constitution”.
According to a report by Aysor.am, Narek Karapetyan stated that the opposition meeting was originally planned to be led by his uncle, businessman and Strong Armenia movement leader Samvel Karapetyan.
“We initiated the meeting, but the authorities took preemptive steps to prevent Samvel Karapetyan from launching the national unification process,” Narek Karapetyan said.
Noting that, despite these events, opposition representatives convened and signed a joint declaration based on four agreed articles, Narek Karapetyan invited other opposition forces and members of the public to join the alliance.
“We will not allow them to implement the Aliyev constitution in Armenia. We must unite,” Karapetyan said.
Ahead of these developments, Armenian National Security Service personnel detained Strong Armenia Party leader Samvel Karapetyan following a search of his home.
The party’s press secretary, Agavni Sukiasyan, announced that on the morning of the same day, the Investigative Committee of Armenia searched the homes of both Samvel Karapetyan and Narek Karapetyan.
In a report citing the Investigative Committee, Armenpress stated that Samvel Karapetyan was detained as part of a case involving allegations of causing large-scale financial damage to the Electric Networks of Armenia (ENA) company, embezzling entrusted property, and money laundering.
According to committee figures, the total damage inflicted on the company exceeds $179 million.
Narek Karapetyan’s home was also searched at the end of July as part of a criminal case.
On 22 July, Armenia’s Central Electoral Commission approved the Prosecutor General’s request to strip Narek Karapetyan of his parliamentary immunity, and Karapetyan was charged with large-scale money laundering.
According to information reported by Sputnik Armenia, the investigation is linked to charges brought against Strong Armenia supporter Aleksan Aleksanyan.
Investigative authorities allege that Aleksanyan received approximately $4.4 million and €230,000 from the Karapetyan-owned Tashir Foundation under the guise of gifts and loans.
Several criminal cases had previously been opened against Samvel Karapetyan.
In 2025, Karapetyan was charged with publicly calling for the violent seizure of power after backing the Armenian Apostolic Church, which had been criticized by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
In January, legal proceedings were also launched against Karapetyan on charges of large-scale tax evasion and money laundering.
Separately, in early July 2025, the Armenian parliament approved a bill enabling the nationalization of the Electric Networks of Armenia company.
In March, Armenia’s Constitutional Court ruled that the nationalization process in question complied with the law.
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