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The EU-Western Balkans Summit: ‘Enlargement is EU’s best geostrategic investment’

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Ahmetcan Uzlaşık, Brussels

The seventh EU-Western Balkans Summit, happening since the 2018 Sofia Summit, took place in Brussels on December 18th. The event brought together leaders from six Western Balkan nations alongside 27 EU heads of state and government. The summit followed the adoption of enlargement conclusions by the Council of the EU on Tuesday and preceded Thursday’s high-level European Council meeting.

The summit concluded with the Brussels declaration, reaffirming the commitment to a shared future and enlargement.

The EU-Western Balkan Summit took place against a backdrop of heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly due to the Russia-Ukraine war on the eve of Donald Trump’s inauguration and conflicts in the Middle East. Following its last enlargement with Croatia’s membership in 2013, geopolitical developments have since prompted the European Union to intensify its enlargement efforts.

In line with that, The Brussels Declaration, published after the Summit, stated “We share a common future and face urgent challenges that we can only overcome together. We owe it to our citizens to build a future of peace and prosperity, based on shared principles values, and common interests. The summit highlighted the importance of enlargement as a strategic investment in peace and security, as the new European Council President, Former Portugal Prime Minister Antonio Costa said: “Enlargement is the best geostrategic investment in our peace, security, and stability that we all can make.”

The Belgian Prime Minister, De Croo, also reaffirmed this statement by indicating that in today’s geopolitical landscape, it is essential to emphasize that the EU is the Western Balkans’ only true partner and that their aspirations to join the European Union are genuine. However, he warned that concrete steps on reforms should be taken to prevent another 2004 scenario, where ten countries became members of the Union at once.

‘Significant process in Montenegro and Albania’

Costa pointed to the significant progress achieved in the past year, particularly by Montenegro and Albania, as evidence of a “new momentum.” Costa noted a collective sense of responsibility among leaders and a renewed determination to accelerate the process, adding, “We should use this momentum to its fullest and create all the conditions necessary for enlargement because there is no doubt that the future of the Western Balkans is in our Union.”

Before the Summit, Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis emphasized the urgency of accelerating Serbia’s path toward EU membership, calling it a cornerstone of stability in the Western Balkans. “It’s time to send a clear message to Serbia and its people: we want Serbia to become part of the European family,” he stated while noting that Serbia must align its foreign policy decisions with those of the EU.

‘Greece is the guardian of Albania’s European trajectory’

On Albania, Mitsotakis positioned Greece as “the guardian of Albania’s European trajectory,” stressing that issues related to the Greek national minority, including property rights and self-identification, are tied to Albania’s EU accession, not just bilateral concerns. He expressed satisfaction with Albania’s recent progress, marking it as a significant step forward.

On the same day of the Summit, the Union and Albania also signed a partnership agreement on security and defense, expanding the cooperation in fighting security menaces.

‘Neighborhood dilemmas and bilateral disputes’ are obstacles

Costa acknowledged the challenges facing the EU-Western Balkans relationship, emphasizing the need to resolve bilateral disputes and neighbourhood dilemmas. “Accession will be merit-based,” while answering a journalist’s question on possible member state blockages in Western Balkan countries.

The Declaration also stressed the critical need for reconciliation and good neighbourly relations, particularly between Pristina and Belgrade. The leaders stressed that the normalization of relations is vital for both parties and a prerequisite for further EU support. The EU urged the implementation of agreements like the Prespa Accord and the Belgrade-Pristina Dialogue, warning that further financial support hinges on tangible progress.

The EU also reiterated its commitment to the Green Agenda, urging Western Balkan partners to align their climate policies with EU standards and to work towards decarbonizing the region.

6 Billion euro worth ‘growth plan’

The initiative to double up the economies of the Western Balkans is one of the most ambitious projects.

The EU has launched a Growth Plan on November 8, 2023 to accelerate the socio-economic convergence of Western Balkans. The Plan aims to accelerate the region’s integration by advancing economic convergence, regional cooperation, and reforms. It seeks to integrate Western Balkan partners into the EU’s single market, enhance regional economic ties, and boost socio-economic reforms with increased pre-accession funding.

As von der Leyen stated in the press conference, the EU aims to bring Western Balkan countries closer to the Union level. The economies of Western Balkan countries currently stand at 35% of the EU’s economic level.

Central to the plan is the €6 billion Reform and Growth Facility for 2024-2027, combining grants (2 billion) and concessional loans (4 billion) tied to reform implementation. During the Summit, the leaders called for the swift implementation of Reform Agendas by the partners, which will serve as the foundation for the Growth Plan aimed at doubling economic growth in the region over the next decade.

Mobilizing Western Balkans against Russia

EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, who is known for her hawk-stance on Moscow, stated before the Summit that Russia “does not want peace,” emphasizing the need for Europe to fully support Ukraine.

She argued that while some seek quick solutions, the reality is that Russia’s stance creates a significant challenge. Strengthening Ukraine on the battlefield will also empower its position in negotiations, which benefits Europe. Kallas also expressed her goal to see significant progress in the EU enlargement process during her five-year term.

The Declaration highlighted unity again, against Russia, by commending Western Balkan partners to be aligned with EU foreign policy, emphasizing the enforcement of sanctions and combating circumvention. The Declaration also stressed “The Western Balkans partners should use the EU’s mechanism for joint purchases of gas and LNG in order to reduce their dependency on Russian gas.”

Migration management and regional security also take centre stage, with calls for stronger visa alignment and crackdowns on organized crime and trafficking. Moreover, combating hybrid threats and disinformation were stressed, as these topics have been placed in the EU’s Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP).

As the EU remains the primary investor and trading partner for the Western Balkans, the summit concluded with a strong call for continued alignment with EU values and principles.

The leaders emphasized that actions must speak louder than words, particularly in implementing reform agendas. However, these conditionalities may lead to frustration if tangible results are not achieved promptly. Moreover, the EU’s own political crisis, economic instability, new configuration of the European Parliament and possibly renewed transatlantic relations may affect this ambitious process in the upcoming years.

Sofia to Brussels: Timeline of the EU-Western Balkan summits

2018 Sofia: The first ever EU-Western Balkan summit ended with the Sofia Declaration. It outlined new measures for enhanced cooperation in areas such as the rule of law, good governance, security, migration, socio-economic development and connectivity.

2020 Zagreb: At the Zagreb summit, EU leaders adopted the Zagreb Declaration, reaffirming their support for the Western Balkans’ European perspective and transformation. Leaders also discussed joint efforts to combat COVID-19, support for the health sector, and economic recovery. Due to the pandemic, the summit was held via videoconference.

2021 Brdo: At the Brdo summit on October 6, EU leaders and Western Balkans partners adopted the Brdo Declaration, outlining initiatives to support connectivity, green and digital transitions, and political and security cooperation in the region.

2022 Brussels: EU and Western Balkans leaders met in Brussels on June 23rd, to discuss EU integration progress, challenges from Russia’s war in Ukraine, and key investments under the Western Balkans’ economic and investment plan, as well as geostrategic issues.

2022 Tirana: On December 6, the first-ever EU-Western Balkans summit in the region took place in Tirana. The summit focused on reinforcing the strategic partnership between the EU and the Western Balkans, emphasizing EU integration. Key discussions included tackling the consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War, enhancing political and policy engagement, strengthening security, combating terrorism and organized crime, and addressing migration challenges. The summit concluded with the issuance of the Tirana declaration.

2023 Brussels: On December 13, EU and Western Balkans leaders met in Brussels to reaffirm the region’s EU membership perspective. Key discussions included advancing gradual integration, building an economic foundation for the future with the newly introduced Growth Plan, mitigating the impact of Russia’s war in Ukraine, and strengthening security and resilience. The summit concluded with the issuance of the Brussels Declaration.

These summits brought together the 27 EU member states and six Western Balkan nations so far, including Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Kosovo.

Europe

Former Yanukovych advisor killed in Madrid

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Andriy Portnov, a former advisor to former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, was assassinated in a Madrid suburb, the capital of Spain, in a gun attack.

According to a source familiar with the investigation who spoke to Reuters and confirmation from Spanish police, the incident occurred while Portnov was dropping off his children at the American School.

Cadena SER, a Spanish radio station, reported that an unidentified assailant was waiting for Portnov at the school gate.

When the former Ukrainian politician arrived at the scene in his vehicle, the assailant opened fire, striking Portnov, and then fled. Portnov reportedly sustained four bullet wounds to the chest and one to the head.

El Pais newspaper, citing police sources, stated that there might have been two or three assailants.

Born in Luhansk in 1973, Andriy Portnov began his career in 1997 at the State Securities and Stock Market Commission.

Portnov served as a member of the Verkhovna Rada, the Ukrainian parliament, from 2006 to 2010. In 2010, he was appointed deputy head of the Presidential Administration of Ukraine.

Portnov also chaired the main administration for judicial reform and the judicial system. He continued to serve as the first deputy head of the Presidential Administration until Yanukovych fled Ukraine in February 2014. Following this event, he left Ukraine and began working as a private lawyer.

On January 15, 2015, the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs announced that a case had been opened against Portnov on charges of “abuse of power and embezzlement of public assets” and that he was wanted.

However, the arrest warrant was later canceled due to the inability to ascertain the politician’s exact whereabouts.

Portnov lived in Austria until 2019, after which he returned to Ukraine.

In 2021, the US decided to impose sanctions on Portnov. The stated reason for the sanctions was that Portnov had established “extensive connections with Ukrainian judicial and law enforcement agencies” through bribery and used his influence “to secure decisions in Ukrainian courts.”

After returning to Ukraine, Portnov filed complaints with the State Bureau of Investigation against former President Petro Poroshenko, alleging that he had engaged in “criminal acts” while in office.

Poroshenko, in turn, called on the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council to impose sanctions on Portnov.

Poroshenko emphasized that the absence of such sanctions “discredited not only Zelenskyy but the state as a whole.”

According to Shemy, an investigative journalism project, Portnov left Ukraine in June 2022.

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EU proposes new ‘safe third country’ rules to accelerate deportations

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The EU is poised to overhaul asylum procedures by relaxing the criteria for applying the “safe third country” concept, as outlined in a new proposal. The European Commission has put forth a revised “safe third country” concept aimed at effectively tightening asylum procedures.

The “safe third country” concept allows member states to declare asylum applications inadmissible if the applicant can receive protection in a non-EU country deemed safe. Currently, EU law requires a clear connection between the asylum seeker and this country. According to EU law, a third country is considered “safe” if it guarantees non-refoulement, poses no risk of serious harm or persecution, and offers asylum seekers the opportunity to seek and obtain effective protection.

The new proposal could quietly rewrite the EU’s asylum rules. Under the revised regulations, EU countries may be able to deport asylum seekers to countries they only transited through, or even to places they have never set foot in, provided there is a bilateral agreement or informal arrangement. The previous requirement for a mandatory connection between the asylum seeker and the safe third country will be removed, leaving the definition of “connection” to national laws.

An EU official stated, “Now, when an asylum seeker arrives in the EU, and there is an agreement or arrangement with a safe third country that meets all the conditions specified in the asylum procedures regulation, that person can be transferred there and provided with effective protection.”

In practice, this grants EU members broad discretion to deport almost anyone, provided the procedures are followed. More importantly, the third country does not need to accept the individual. A Commission official confirmed to Euractiv that there would be no EU-wide list of safe countries. The official added, “Member states can determine their own lists.”

The changes will be incorporated into the new Asylum Procedures Regulation, which is part of the broader Migration and Asylum Pact scheduled to take effect next year. Under the proposal, member states will be required to notify the Commission and other member states before signing any agreements with “safe” third countries, allowing Brussels to verify that these agreements comply with EU legal standards. In addition to the proposed changes, the Commission is also taking steps to automatically remove the right to remain during the appeal process. Under the new rules, appeals against inadmissibility decisions based on the safe third country concept will not automatically suspend deportation.

This proposal is the latest in a series of steps taken by the Commission to tighten EU asylum rules. In April, a plan was adopted designating seven countries as “safe countries of origin”: Bangladesh, Colombia, Egypt, India, Kosovo, Morocco, and Tunisia. This plan paved the way for faster and easier rejection of asylum applications. Just a month prior, the Commission also approved new EU return rules aimed at simplifying regulations for returning rejected asylum seekers. These rules also include legal provisions for countries to explore the use of “return centers.”

Susan Fratzke, a policy analyst at the Migration Policy Institute, told Euractiv that the new changes “will not affect member states’ plans to establish return centers.” According to Fratzke, return centers are designed for individuals whose asylum applications have been evaluated and rejected and who are currently undergoing return procedures.

The new proposals will now be submitted for approval to the European Parliament and the European Council.

Keywords: EU asylum reform, safe third country concept, migration policy, asylum procedures regulation, European Commission, deportation rules, return centers, asylum applications, non-refoulement, international protection, EU migration pact, border control, human rights, EU law, migrant returns, inadmissibility decisions, appeal process, “safe countries of origin”, readmission agreements, European Parliament, European Council.

Meta description: The EU is set to revise its asylum procedures, easing “safe third country” rules to expedite deportations. This proposal tightens criteria, allowing transfers even without a direct connection, and impacts appeal rights.

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Europe takes action against Israel amid escalating Gaza crisis

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European countries have decided to take action against Israel, which has resolved to continue its occupation and blockade of Gaza.

In Gaza, renewed bombardments on March 18 resulted in at least 3,300 deaths. Since October 7, 2023, the total number of fatalities in the Gaza Strip is estimated to be approximately 53,500, with over 28,000 women and girls among them, according to UN data.

The Israeli government has announced it will further intensify its attacks. The obstruction of public access to aid supplies also effectively continues. Although Israel officially stated it would permit aid convoys, on Monday, it limited the number of convoys to five.

According to UN data, 500 convoys reached the Gaza Strip daily before the war began.

On Tuesday, UN emergency relief coordinator Tom Fletcher warned that up to 14,000 babies and young children could die within 48 hours if aid shipments were not increased. Following this warning, Israel announced on Tuesday that it could increase the number of permitted shipments to 100.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Washington had warned that “support for Israel would not be possible” if “images of mass starvation” were leaked to the public. Netanyahu remarked, “Therefore, we must somehow solve the problem.”

Steps toward recognizing the State of Palestine may accelerate

Over the past year, several EU member states have begun to see initial results in response to Israel’s occupation of the Gaza Strip and the war crimes committed there. Thus, on May 28, 2024, Ireland, Spain, and non-EU member Norway officially recognized Palestine as a state; on June 4, 2024, Slovenia followed suit.

Previously, eight EU countries had taken this step: Poland, Czechia, and Slovakia (then united as Czechoslovakia) in 1988, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria, and Cyprus. Sweden joined them in 2014. Malta recognized the right of Palestinians to a state in 1988 but did not recognize the state itself.

In Greece, the parliament requested the government to recognize Palestine as a state at the end of 2015, but the government did not fulfill this request.

In April, French President Emmanuel Macron announced that he would declare a decision on recognition at a conference in New York in early June but stipulated that several Arab states must recognize Israel in return.

In total, 147 UN member states and the Vatican recognize the State of Palestine. Germany is not among these countries and has not reversed its stance on the matter.

Europe’s previous anti-Israel decisions

European countries had previously decided to review military and political cooperation with Israel, but in practice, these decisions were largely ineffective.

For example, a court in the Netherlands prohibited the delivery of US F-35 fighter jet parts to Israel in February 2024. Outside the EU, the United Kingdom imposed some restrictions on arms shipments to Israel in September 2024, although export licenses increased in the subsequent three months.

Dutch Foreign Minister Caspar Veldkamp stated on May 7 that his government had called on the EU to “review the Association Agreement with Israel” because the Israeli government was no longer fulfilling its obligation to “protect fundamental human rights in external relations” as stipulated in Article 2 of the agreement.

On Monday, France and the United Kingdom, along with Canada, issued a joint statement to increase pressure, openly criticizing Israel’s war policy and announcing “additional measures, including targeted sanctions.”

London also suspended ongoing free trade negotiations with Israel yesterday (May 20).

London leads international condemnation of Israel

UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy stated on Tuesday that the UK decided to freeze new trade agreement talks with Israel in response to the “appalling” situation caused by the attacks in Gaza.

International criticism escalated on Tuesday, with London summoning the Israeli ambassador over the escalating tensions in Gaza, and Prime Minister Keir Starmer demanding Israel “massively increase” aid to the region.

Starmer stated in the British parliament, “The renewed bombardment of innocent children is absolutely unacceptable. Israel’s announcement that it will allow ‘basic’ quantities of food into Gaza—I say basic quantities—is completely and utterly insufficient.”

Lammy also accused the Netanyahu government of “planning to drive Gazans from their homes into a southern corner and provide them with only a fraction of the aid they need.”

The Minister also sharply criticized Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s ultranationalist finance minister, who said that Israel was “cleansing” Gaza and “destroying everything that remains” in the region.

Lammy stated, “We must name this: This extremism is dangerous, abhorrent, monstrous, and I condemn it in the strongest possible terms.”

Britain also imposed sanctions on three Israeli settlers, two illegal settler outposts, and two organizations supporting violence against Palestinian communities in the region.

Some in Europe also support Israel and Netanyahu

On the other hand, not all European countries are willing to take action against Israel’s occupation of Gaza.

Berlin, for example, is refraining from all measures against Israel. Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz reiterated last week that Prime Minister Netanyahu, for whom an arrest warrant has been issued by the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague, “should in principle be able to travel to Germany.”

Merz stated that “information would be provided in a timely manner” to the public on “how this would be possible, if planned.”

Hungary, led by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, was the only country to accept Netanyahu despite the arrest warrant. During the visit, Orbán announced that his country would withdraw from the ICC.

The Hungarian parliament officially approved this step yesterday, Tuesday.

Europe divided on relations with Israel

At the EU foreign ministers’ meeting held yesterday, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul opposed reviewing the association agreement signed by the EU with Israel, at the request of the Netherlands, but could not get his view accepted.

Nine member states—Belgium, Finland, France, Ireland, Luxembourg, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, and Sweden—publicly announced their support for the Dutch proposal before Tuesday’s foreign ministers’ meeting.

According to diplomatic sources who spoke to Euronews, Denmark, Estonia, Malta, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia also supported the review conducted on Tuesday. Austria, a loyal supporter of Israel, did not raise any objections.

According to sources, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, and Lithuania opposed it, while Latvia remained “neutral.”

A proposal to increase pressure on Israel by imposing new sanctions on Israeli settlers responsible for violence in the West Bank was supported by 26 out of 27 member states but vetoed by Hungary.

According to EU diplomacy chief Kaja Kallas, the EU Commission will now begin examining whether Israel is complying with its human rights obligations, particularly under the agreement. Otherwise, the agreement will be suspended, which would at least make trade between the two parties more expensive.

However, the review could take a very long time. Furthermore, it is uncertain whether EU member states will approve the suspension of the agreement.

Swedish Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard went further, stating that she would “push for EU sanctions to be imposed against individual Israeli ministers.”

On the other hand, an EU diplomat who spoke to the Financial Times stated that regardless of the outcome of the bloc’s review of the trade agreement with Israel, “The fact that the vast majority of member states have demanded this sends a strong message to the Israeli government.”

Israel’s reaction to Britain and the EU

Israel responded to Kaja Kallas’s statement late on Tuesday.

Oren Marmorstein, spokesperson for the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, issued a statement on the social media platform X, announcing that they rejected the justification for the EU’s decision to review its relations with Israel.

Marmorstein argued that Israel was in a defensive position in a war “imposed by Hamas.”

The spokesperson also reminded the EU that the Israeli government had accepted numerous US ceasefire and hostage exchange proposals that Hamas had rejected.

Marmorstein stated, “Ignoring these facts and criticizing Israel stiffens Hamas’s stance and encourages Hamas to take up arms. Hamas’s recent praise for such criticisms is a clear indication of this and prolongs the war.”

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson criticized the EU for ignoring the recent steps taken by the US and Israel to ensure aid flow in the region, while praising other countries that “accepted this fact” and continued to support Israel.

Marmorstein also stated that Israel is open to discussions with EU representatives and member states to resolve the issue, concluding his statement by calling on Brussels to pressure “Hamas, which is the source of the real problem.”

Marmorstein also sharply criticized Britain, stating, “If the British government risks harming the British economy due to its anti-Israel obsessions and internal political calculations, that is its right. External pressure will not deter Israel from defending its existence and security against its enemies who seek to destroy it. The British Mandate ended exactly 77 years ago. External pressure will not deter Israel from its struggle to defend its existence and security against its enemies who seek to destroy it.”

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