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The PKK and the West worried about Turkiye-Syria normalization

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Explanations by the president Erdogan were interesting as we are in a period in which the agenda is Turkiye-Syria relations and foreign affairs. Erdogan spoke at Graduation Ceremony of Officers and Non-Commissioned Officers: “ We have no problem with any country. We want the best of best relations with all. Our goal is to provide a peaceful environment via cooperation, we started with our nearest neighbor.”

 Çavuşoğlu: We need to start the work for a permanent peace

Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu, Minister of Foreign Affairs was formerly on the agenda for stating that the discussion with Syrian government should be settled, mentioned that intelligence services of Damascus and Ankara are communicating in his speech and said: “We should not condition communication, we need to have permanent peace.”  

“No triple meeting will take place.”

On the other hand, it has been discussed for some time in the media that President Erdogan, Russia President Putin and Syria President Assad will meet all together at the Shanghai Cooperation Foundation Presidents Summit.

Çavuşoğlu made statements for this trio meeting, and rejected the validity of the news by saying: “Assad is not invited to the Summit.”

Kremlin also did not give specific information about the parties joining the summit in their explanations till today.

Syrian and Russian Foreign Affairs Ministers met

The issue of another level of dialogue and ‘normalization’ of relations with Syria, which has been frequently spoken by Turkish officials recently, remained on the agenda in both countries, it is also closely followed by the rest of the world.

Syrian Foreign Affairs Minister Faisal Mikdad met with his Russian counterpart, Lavrov, in Moscow today. One of the most important agendas of the meeting was the dialogue process with Turkey.

Having been asked about the mediating role Moscow plays in the relations between Damascus and Ankara, Lavrov stated that Russia has been working for years, since the establishment of the Astana format, for the normalization of Turkey-Syria relations.

Syrian Foreign Minister Faisal Mikdad also stressed that Damascus appreciates Russia and Iran’s efforts to reform relations between Syria and Turkey, but stressed that Ankara still has issues to address.

Mikdad said that Turkey should “abandon the role it played in previous years” and called for “Turkey to withdraw from Syria”.

After the Tehran summit, Turkey’s dialogue with Syria increased. After Erdogan and Putin’s Sochi summit, which took place three weeks after the Tehran summit, it was announced that Putin offered Erdogan to meet with Assad, but Erdogan preferred this to be done through intelligence circles.

It is stated that Russia is carrying out active diplomacy to re-establish relations between Syria and Turkey.

Syrian expert: The safety of the two countries depends on each other

Although there is no official statement from Damascus on the statements from Ankara, the Syrian public is following the developments closely.

Syrian political analyst Talib Ibrahim, who is known for his closeness to Assad, stated that Damascus welcomed the positive statements from Ankara with cautious optimism in the program he participated in Sky News Arabia. Saying that there are dozens of reasons for the Ankara-Damascus reconnection that unites the two countries, Talib Ibrahim listed the most urgent reasons as follows: “The possibility of a Kurdish presence in northeast Syria near the Turkish border, terrorism, food, security and migration problems. The safety of the two countries depends on each other.”

Member of the Syrian Parliament, Halit Abbut, made evaluations on the subject on his Facebook account and said, “Erdogan understands that there is no other way out than to go to the normalization process in relations with Syria.”

Guardian: Terrorist organizations are triggered

A British newspaper, The Guardian, took the issue on its agenda and wrote that Erdogan no longer wants to overthrow Assad, and that this situation alarmed the Syrian opposition and the YPG members in the north of the country.

Emphasizing that President Erdogan has markedly changed his rhetoric towards Assad and that the ‘chorus’ defending diplomacy in the country is gradually expanding, The Guardian article states that, after being one of the main regional advocates of Assad’s overthrow for more than a decade, Erdogan now supports Assad embarking on a new policy aimed at stabilizing.

The article also includes the statements of a senior Lebanese official who spoke anonymously about the dialogue process of the two countries: “The dialogue process will be gradual. The Turkish message is very clear. They want to solve the PKK problem and Assad has a trump card for the first time. But since all this happened thanks to Putin, Assad should not push his current position too much.” 

YPG: Damascus-Ankara relations will increase the crisis

The statement confirming the news of The Guardian that terrorist organizations were on the alert came from Ilham Ahmed, Chairman of the Executive Board of the Democratic Syrian Assembly affiliated to the YPG. “The normalization of relations between Damascus and Ankara will increase the current crisis,” Ahmed stated about Turkey’s efforts to get closer with the Syrian government.

MIDDLE EAST

‘Turkey-Syria negotiations to be held in Baghdad’

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The Syrian daily al-Watan reports that the first round of talks between Syria and Turkey to normalise bilateral relations will take place in Baghdad.

Turkish and Syrian officials are expected to meet in the Iraqi capital Baghdad to restore diplomatic relations between Syria and Turkey, which were severed more than 12 years ago, after President Erdogan said there was “no reason not to meet with Syria”.

Press TV quoted an unnamed official as saying that the meeting would be the first step in a long process of negotiations leading to a political agreement, al-Watan reported.

According to the sources, Ankara has asked Moscow and Baghdad to pave the way for Turkish diplomats to sit at the negotiating table with the Syrian side without a third party. They also asked that the meetings be closed to the press.

Al-Watan noted that the Turkish-Syrian rapprochement and the initiative to restore diplomatic relations have received wide support from Arab countries, especially Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as well as Russia, China and Iran.

Mutual statements

President Erdoğan said on Friday: “There is no reason not to re-establish diplomatic relations with Syria. We can do it again as we did in the past. We have no intention of interfering in Syria’s internal affairs. As you know, there is no reason why we should not re-establish diplomatic relations with Mr Assad, as we did in the past, down to family meetings”.

During a meeting with Russia’s special envoy to Syria, Aleksander Lavrentiev, in Damascus on 26 June, Syrian leader Assad said he was open to initiatives to normalise relations with Turkey.

“Syria is open to all attempts to normalise Syrian-Turkish relations on the basis of respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state and within the framework of the fight against all forms of terrorism,” SANA quoted Assad as saying.

New mediator Iraq

While Turkish-Iraqi relations are developing positively, Baghdad’s mediation role in the normalisation of Turkish-Syrian relations is attracting attention. On 31 May, during a visit to Turkey, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shiya al-Sudani said that he was working on reconciliation between Ankara and Damascus. Asked if he had spoken to Erdogan or Assad about this issue, Sudani replied: “Certainly, negotiations on this issue are continuing. And God willing, there will be some steps in this regard soon”.

In June, an Iraqi government source told Iraqi media that Baghdad would soon host officials from both countries in Baghdad as part of efforts to reconcile Syria and Turkey.

What happened?

Turkey severed all diplomatic ties with Syria in 2012 following the outbreak of war in 2011 and supported armed opposition groups in the northwest of the country.

Since 2016, Turkish forces have carried out a series of military operations and established a ‘safe zone’ in the north of the country, claiming that terrorist organisations such as PKK-ISIS threaten Turkey’s security.

The normalisation of relations between Ankara and Damascus began on 28 December 2022 with a Russian-mediated meeting between the Turkish and Syrian defence ministers in Moscow, the highest-level meeting between the two sides since 2011.

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Imran Khan accuses Pakistan army chief of cover-up of assassination plot against him

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Former Pakistani prime minister Imran Khan has stepped up his criticism of Pakistani army chief Asim Munir’s attempt to seize political power from his prison cell, The Intercept reports, citing several sources close to Khan.

The report also contains new allegations about Khan’s history with Munir. According to those in contact with the detained prime minister, Khan is making new allegations that he violated an agreement to remain neutral in Pakistani politics in exchange for accepting Munir’s appointment as army chief.

The deposed prime minister also claims that Munir conspired with his civilian political rivals, including former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, to work against him in exchange for dropping corruption charges that forced Sharif into exile.

According to the report, the escalating personal conflict between Khan and Munir is also an important part of the dialogue. Khan alleges that Munir ordered agents of Pakistan’s notorious Inter-Services Intelligence to kill him, and that the general covered up the assassination attempts by suppressing a police investigation and hiding CCTV footage.

While Khan’s fate remains the biggest unanswered question in the country’s politics, prison communiqués allegedly show that the situation was fuelled by animosity between Khan and Munir.

Khan’s allegations against Munir were shared with The Intercept by a number of sources close to him, who requested anonymity to protect their safety.

The correspondence allegedly includes surveillance footage and other evidence that Munir hatched a plan to have Khan killed in a raucous courtroom on 18 March 2023.

According to sources close to the former prime minister, Khan accused Munir of covering up the plot against him.

Among Khan’s supporters who believe his personal safety is at risk are Pakistani-Americans who recently lobbied Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to contact the Pakistani government about his safety.

As well as accusing Munir of betraying his trust and plotting to kill him, Khan has repeatedly claimed from prison that the general is leading the country towards a repeat of the traumatic partition of 1971.

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MIDDLE EAST

Israeli, Arab generals hold secret meeting

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Israeli Chief of Staff Hayzi Halevi met with his counterparts from various Arab armies in Bahrain to discuss regional security cooperation, two sources with direct knowledge of the meeting told Axios.

The meeting, which took place under the auspices of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), was not made public due to sensitivities surrounding the war in Gaza.

The meeting, which took place in Manama on Monday, was attended by CENTCOM commander Michael Erik Kurilla and Halevi, as well as senior generals from Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt.

According to Barak Ravid’s report, the meeting was a sign that military dialogue and cooperation between Israel and the Arab countries continues under the umbrella of CENTCOM, despite harsh public criticism of Israel’s military operations in Gaza.

The IDF and CENTCOM did not comment on the meeting.

CENTCOM and the Pentagon have recently sought to increase air defence cooperation with regional militaries.

The US success in countering Iran’s unprecedented missile and drone attack on Israel on 13 April is seen as a result of this work.

US officials say that cooperation with Israel and Arab countries in the region allows them to gather intelligence and receive early warning of an attack. This cooperation includes the active involvement of Jordan and Saudi Arabia in intercepting missiles and drones that pass through their airspace after being fired at Israel from Iran, Iraq and Yemen, they said.

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