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Cross border aggression: Souring tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan

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At least eight people, all of them civilians, including three children and five women, lost their lives in Pakistani airstrikes in two bordering provinces of Afghanistan on March 18.  Pakistan Air Force jets bombed residential areas in the Lamana area in Spera district in Khost and the Barmal district of Paktika around 03:00 am local time and the airstrikes come two days after a terror attack by the Pakistani Taliban claimed the lives of seven Pakistani soldiers in Waziristan.

The caretaker government of the Taliban has strongly condemned Pakistani airstrikes and vowed to respond and avenge the killing of innocent Afghans.

According to the Taliban statement, six civilians were killed in Paktika and two more in Khost province and considered the attack as a clear violation of Afghanistan’s sovereignty and an invasion of the country’s territory.

“Pakistan should stop blaming Afghanistan for its inability to manage security incidents within its borders,” the statement reads and re-emphasized that they will not let Afghanistan soil to be used against any other countries.

The latest escalation is likely to further increase tension between the two neighboring countries, Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Pakistan claimed it has targeted TTP commander

Pakistani media has reported that the airstrike was aimed to target members of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in Khost and Paktika provinces. However, it is not clear how deep inside Afghanistan the Pakistani jets flew and it’s the second airstrike since 2022 when Pakistan targeted militant hideouts in Afghanistan but the Pakistani military has never officially confirmed those attacks.

This also comes days after seven Pakistani military personnel, including two officers were killed after suicide bombers targeted their security post following exchange of heavy fire in the northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province.

Pakistan and Afghan security forces exchanged heavy fire on Monday morning following the launch of Pakistan Air Force cross-border aerial strikes in Afghanistan.

The incident took place early Saturday morning, and just within some hours, a group of six militants attacked a security post in the Mir Ali area of North Waziristan tribal district. The attack has been foiled by the Pakistani security forces, the Pakistan’s media wing said in a statement.

The statement furthered; “The terrorists rammed an explosive-laden vehicle into the post, followed by multiple suicide bombing attacks, which led to the collapse of a portion of a building, resulting in “martyrdom” of five soldiers.”

During the intensive exchange of fire between force and militants, two army officers, Lieutenant Colonel Syed Kashif Ali and Captain Muhammad Ahmed Badar, were killed, the statement added.

TTP commander Abdullah Shah is alive and he is Pakistan

However, the Pakistani army had claimed that they had targeted TTP commander Abdullah Shah in Afghanistan with the airstrikes. However, this has been turned wrong.

Soon after Pakistan, Shah, the commander of TTP, released a video refuting the claim and said that he is alive and currently living in Waziristan of Pakistan.

“It is all propaganda. Today is the 18th of March and I am right now in Nort Waziristan and alive. We have not moved anywhere from here and we are here in Waziristan since the beginning,” Shah said in the video clip.

Taliban denies charge sheltering TTP

Pakistan has time and again accused Afghanistan for failing to prevent militants from TTP from carrying out attacks in Pakistan. Pakistan also asked the Afghan government to stop sheltering the TTP leaders, an accusation that the Afghan government rejected in the strongest terms. The Afghan government under the Taliban leader has always denied sheltering the TTP and reaffirmed its commitment not to allow its soil to be used against any country in the regional countries.

Afghan Defense Ministry Mujahid has appeared in a military uniform for the first time after Pakistani airstrikes.

The Taliban acting defense minister, Mullah Yaqoob Mujahid had instructed the Afghan security forces to respond to the Pakistani airstrike through rockets.

Afghan forces targeted areas within Pakistan’s jurisdiction in KP

Under his directive, the Afghan forces had initiated artillery barrages from the Dand-e-Patan district of Paktia proivnce and targeted areas within Pakistan’s jurisdiction in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP). Videos from the site have been circulating on social media, showing Afghan forces using the BM-21, a self-propelled 122 mm multiple rocket launcher in the ongoing exchange of fire.

Afghan defense minister in military uniform for the first time

Defense Ministry has published a picture of Mujahid, who appeared in a military uniform for the first time after Pakistani airstrikes, and the ministry in a statement in X said that in response to this aggression, the border forces of the National Army of Afghanistan targeted Pakistan’s military center along the Durand Line with heavy weapons.

“The Afghan security forces are committed to protect their land under all circumstances and claim that they have destroyed two security posts of the Pakistani army. Afghan foreign ministry also summoned Pakistani ambassador to Kabul and handed over its protest letter and strongly condemned Pakistani airstrikes in  Khost and Paktiak provinces.

But now the situation has become normal and the Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said that the situation in the bordering area is calm and the fighting has stopped.

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Chinese, Russian troops hold joint exercise targeting cross-border terrorism

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China and Russia have held a joint military exercise focusing on cross-border terrorism, amid growing concern over terrorist attacks in Moscow.

The drill was held on 25 June in a river area near the Heilongjiang Bridge linking Russia’s Blagoveshchensk and China’s Heihe, the Chinese military’s official media outlet PLA Daily reported on Tuesday.

It was the first joint counter-terrorism drill between the neighbouring countries since Russia’s intervention in Ukraine.

It came just days after terrorist attacks in Russia’s southern region of Dagestan on 23 June, in which at least 22 people were killed in shootings at two synagogues, two Orthodox churches and a police station.

In March, more than 140 people were killed in an attack on a concert hall in Moscow, the deadliest terrorist attack in Russia for almost two decades. The Khorosan branch of ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack.

According to the PLA Daily, last week’s joint exercise simulated ‘terrorists trying to cross the border’ to launch an attack.

Chinese and Russian troops used aerial reconnaissance, maritime interception and land ambush to intercept and capture the terrorists during the exercise.

The exercise, which focused on improving intelligence sharing and operational coordination, showed the “firm determination” of both militaries to take effective measures to “combat all forms of terrorism, separatism and extremism” while jointly securing border areas, the report said.

The report also said that the two sides discussed further deepening border cooperation.

This is not the first time the two countries have held joint counter-terrorism exercises. In 2019, China’s People’s Armed Police took part in an exercise with the Russian National Guard in Russia.

According to Tass, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov reaffirmed the two countries’ ongoing cooperation in the fight against terrorism, including on multilateral platforms, during a meeting with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in April.

Aiming to strengthen law enforcement cooperation

Last week’s joint exercise follows an agreement between Chinese and Russian leaders during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing in May to strengthen cooperation in law enforcement and defence, including by expanding joint training and exercises.

The Chinese and Russian coast guards also signed a memorandum of understanding on maritime law enforcement cooperation in April last year.

In March, China and Russia organised a naval exercise with Iran focusing on anti-piracy efforts. China and Russia also held joint naval and air exercises in the Sea of Japan, or East Sea, in July last year.

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Controversial military operations and ethnic dynamics in Pakistan’s fight against terrorism

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In a recent high-level meeting, the federal government of Pakistan announced its intention to launch a new military operation against terrorist organizations. This decision is aimed at eradicating militancy under the banner of Azm-i-Istehkam. Surprisingly, the military leadership has remained silent on this proposed operation, leaving the advocacy to political figures, notably Defense Minister Khawaja Asif of the Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N).

The Pakistan People’s Party (PPP), a significant coalition partner in the federal government, has maintained a conspicuous silence on the matter. Meanwhile, despite the approval from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur, factions within Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) and the Sunni Ittehad Council have openly opposed the operation. This divergence in political opinion highlights the complex dynamics at play in Pakistan’s approach to counter-terrorism.

The opposition from various regional and ethnic parties, including the Pashtun Protection Movement (PTM), Pakhtunkhwa Milli Awami Party (PkMAP), and the Awami National Party (ANP), stems from deep-seated concerns about the operation’s focus and its implications. Historically, PTI and PkMAP have not been staunchly anti-Taliban. PTI’s leader, Imran Khan, has consistently opposed military actions against Taliban militants, advocating instead for dialogue. Similarly, PkMAP leader Mehmood Khan Achakzai, while ostensibly opposing terrorism, is perceived to have friendly relations with the Taliban, as evidenced by the relative safety of his party members from Taliban attacks.

Significant religious-political entities have complex stances on militancy in Pakistan

The relative safety of certain political groups, like PTM and the National Democratic Movement, from Taliban violence raises questions. Critics argue that this perceived immunity could suggest covert alliances or understandings, casting doubt on the motivations behind their opposition to the military operation.

Jamiat Ulama-e-Islam (JUI-F) and Jamaat-e-Islami (JI), both significant religious-political entities, have complex stances on militancy. JUI-F’s position has been ambiguous since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979. In contrast, JI, having reaped substantial benefits from the Afghan war, now finds itself sidelined and is striving to reassert its relevance by attempting to align with nationalist sentiments.

The media and sections of the government, particularly those influenced by Punjabi and Urdu-speaking elites, have often portrayed the Taliban as predominantly Pashtun. This narrative has led to the proposed military operation being focused on Pashtun-majority areas, such as Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Defense Minister Khawaja Asif’s statement that the operation will target these regions reinforces this perception.

Pashtun-dominated regions reject the notion that terrorism is a Pashtun phenomenon

However, leaders from Pashtun-dominated regions, like Khan Muhammad Wazir of the ANP, reject the notion that terrorism is a Pashtun phenomenon. Wazir points to the involvement of non-Pashtun militants in numerous terror attacks across Pakistan. He highlights the role of Punjabi militants in groups like the Punjabi Taliban, Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, and Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, who have orchestrated some of the deadliest attacks in recent years. Wazir’s argument underscores the ethnic diversity of militant groups in Pakistan, challenging the stereotype of the Pashtun terrorist.

Wazir’s emotional plea for an operation starting in Punjab, rather than Pashtun areas, aims to shift the focus to the diverse origins of militancy. He names several key figures from Punjab involved in terrorist activities, such as Tariq Lahori of Daesh and Maulana Qasmi of Jamaat-ul-Ahrar. By highlighting these figures, Wazir seeks to demonstrate that terrorism in Pakistan is not confined to any single ethnic group.

Doubt on the narration of the proposed military operation “Azm-i-Istekham”

The insistence on a military operation in Pashtun regions, driven by a media narrative dominated by Punjabi and Urdu-speaking elites, risks alienating the Pashtun community. Wazir’s call for international intervention by entities like China, the United States, Russia, the United Nations, and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) underscores the severity of this perceived ethnic targeting. If the government and media continue to frame terrorism as a predominantly Pashtun issue, it may lead to increased ethnic tensions and further marginalize the Pashtun population.

The proposed military operation “Azm-i-Istehkam” and the political dynamics surrounding it reveal deep-seated ethnic and regional tensions within Pakistan. While the operation aims to eradicate terrorism, its focus on Pashtun areas risks reinforcing harmful stereotypes and overlooking the broader ethnic diversity of militant groups. A more equitable approach, recognizing the involvement of non-Pashtun militants and addressing the root causes of militancy across all regions, is crucial for fostering national unity and effectively combating terrorism. Only through such an inclusive strategy can Pakistan hope to achieve lasting peace and stability.

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Huawei Harmony aims to end China’s reliance on Windows and Android

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While Chinese tech giant Huawei’s recent smartphone launches have been closely watched for signs of progress in China’s chip supply chain, the company has also developed expertise in sectors vital to Beijing’s vision of technological self-sufficiency, from operating systems to car software.

Chinese President Xi Jinping told the CPC Politburo last year that China must fight hard to localise operating systems and other technologies “as soon as possible” as the US restricts exports of advanced chips and other components.

OpenHarmony, developed by Huawei, is widely promoted in China as the “national operating system”.

“This strategic move is likely to erode the market share of Western operating systems such as Android and Windows in China as local products gain traction,” Sunny Cheung, an associate fellow at the Jamestown Foundation, a US defence policy group, told Reuters.

In the first quarter of 2024, Huawei’s own version of the HarmonyOS operating system overtook Apple’s iOS to become the second best-selling mobile operating system in China after Android, according to research firm Counterpoint. It has not yet been released on smartphones outside China.

“Harmony has created a strong core operating system for the future of China’s devices,” Richard Yu, president of Huawei’s consumer business group, said at the opening of a developer conference last week.

Self-sufficiency

Huawei first introduced Harmony in August 2019, three months after Washington imposed trade restrictions over alleged security concerns. Huawei denies that its equipment poses a risk.

Since then, China has stepped up its self-sufficiency efforts, pulling out of the main code-sharing centre Github and supporting a local version, Gitee.

China banned the use of Windows on government computers in 2014 and now uses mostly Linux-based operating systems.

Microsoft derives only 1.5 per cent of its revenue from China, its chief executive said this month.

Originally built on an open-source Android system, Huawei this year released the first “pure” version of HarmonyOS, which no longer supports Android-based apps, further separating China’s app ecosystem from the rest of the world.

Huawei said in its 2023 annual report that OpenHarmony was the fastest-growing open source operating system for smart devices last year, with more than 70 organisations contributing to it and more than 460 hardware and software products produced in the financial, education, aerospace and industrial sectors.

Visited by Reuters, Charlie Cheng, deputy director of the Harmony Ecosystem Innovation Centre, said the aim of making it open-source was to replicate Android’s success in eliminating licensing costs for users and provide companies with a customisable springboard for their own products.

“Harmony will definitely become a mainstream operating system and give the world a new choice of operating systems besides iOS and Android,” he said.

Google, Apple and Microsoft did not respond to requests for comment.

China’s previous efforts to build large open source projects have struggled to gain traction among developers, but Huawei’s growing smartphone market share and extra work to develop a broader ecosystem gives Harmony an edge, analysts said.

Huawei’s Yu said this month that more than 900 million devices, including smartphones, watches and car systems, were running HarmonyOS and that 2.4 million developers were coding in the ecosystem.

“OpenHarmony will need more time and iterations for these developers to feel more confident about working with OpenHarmony,” Emma Xu, an analyst at research firm Canalys, told Reuters, adding: “But the reputation, behaviour and trust that HarmonyOS has achieved will certainly have a positive impact.”

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