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Was it a free and fair general election in Pakistan

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Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN) had urged the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) to take notice of non-compliance by the Returning Officers with its instructions that reinforced categoric legal provisions requiring complete transparency at all stages of the election results process including the preparation of provisional and consolidated results in the constituencies. This non-compliance has overshadowed an otherwise largely controversy-free voting and counting processes at the polling stations.

Section 92 of the Elections Act, 2017 requires the Returning Officers to prepare and announce the Provisional Consolidated Statement of the Results of the Count (Form-47) in the presence of contesting candidates, their election agents, and authorized observers as may be present. Similarly, Section 95(1) requires the Returning Officer to conduct the consolidation of the results in the presence of the contesting candidates and their election agents. Section 95(9) requires the Returning Officers to provide copies of Form-48 (Consolidated Statement of the Results of the Count Furnished by the Presiding Officers) and Form-49 (Final Consolidated Result). Section 238 also allows the accredited observers to observe the consolidation of results.

However, the Returning Officers (ROs) in 135 of 260 National Assembly constituencies did not adhere to these provisions, undermining the ECP’s efforts to maximize electoral transparency, which was generally maintained during the voting and counting processes at the polling stations. The Returning Officers did not allow FAFEN observers in 135 constituencies to observe the tabulation process –– 80 in Punjab, 23 in Sindh, 18 in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 11 in Balochistan and all three in Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT).

Political parties failed to get major votes

Of these 135 constituencies, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI)-backed independents won 46, Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz (PMLN) 43, Pakistan Peoples Party Parliamentarians (PPPP) 28, unaffiliated independents five, Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam Pakistan (JUI-P) three, two each by Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) and Pakistan Muslim League (PML) and one each by Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party (IPP), Balochistan National Party (BNP), Pakhtunkhwa Milli Awami Party (PkMAP), Balochistan Awami Party (BAP) and Majlis-e-Wahdat Muslimeen (MWM). The provisional result of one such constituency is yet to be announced.

As per FAFEN observers, the Returning Officers in 65 constituencies prohibited one or more candidates and/or their election agents from participating in the tabulation proceedings. Of these 65 constituencies, 25 are won by PMLN, 24 by PTI-backed independents, five by PPPP, four by unaffiliated independents, three by PML, and one each by IPP, BNP and PkMAP. One such constituency remains undecided.

While Section 92 requires the preparation of provisional results in presence of contesting candidates, their election agents and authorized observers, FAFEN observers reported that the Returning Officers in 80 out of 125 National Assembly constituencies where they were allowed by the Returning Officers to observe the tabulation proceedings — 43  in Punjab, 20 in Sindh, 13 in KP and four in Balochistan— were opening the tamper evident bags containing the Form-45 (Results of the Count) and Form-46 (Ballot Paper Account) brought by Presiding Officers in their presence. In 42 constituencies – 17 in Punjab, 13 in Sindh, 11 in KP and one in Balochistan – these bags were opened without any candidates and/or their election agents present. In the remaining three constituencies – two in Sindh and one in KP— the observers could not determine whether or not these bags were being opened in the presence of candidates and election agents.

A need for a fair and independent investigation on vote-rigging accusations

As per Rule 84(3) of the Election Rules, 2017, the Returning Officers are required to point out any arithmetic errors in Form-45 to the Presiding Officers and ask them to correct the errors with their signatures before resending electronically a copy of corrected Form-45 to the Commission. FAFEN observers reported that in 53 National Assembly constituencies — 23 in Punjab, 18 in Sindh, 10 in KP and two in Balochistan— the Returning Officers pointed out arithmetic errors in one or more Form-45 and asked the concerned Presiding Officers to correct the errors with initials and re-send the electronic copies of the corrected forms.

The Returning Officers in most constituencies did not make adequate arrangements for the hundreds of Presiding Officers who arrived at their offices to hand over the election results and materials. Long queues of vehicles carrying officials and election materials in the winter nights without any seating and food arrangements was the leading reason for chaotic and crowded environment at the tabulation centers in 66 constituencies including 26 in Punjab, 25 in Sindh, 12 in KP and three in Baluchistan as reported by FAFEN observers. It takes roughly 15-30 minutes for each Presiding Officer to hand over election results and other election materials.  Also, the disorderly proceedings at the tabulation centers may be due to same legal deadline of 2 a.m. for delivering polling stations’ results to the Returning Officers both electronically and physically. While this may be a feasible deadline in case results are transmitted electronically, the physical handing over of polling station results and materials remains a logistical challenge especially in a country where many constituencies are geographically large such as the ones in Chitral, Kohistan, south Punjab, most parts of Balochistan and rural Sindh. FAFEN observers reported that Returning Officers were able to prepare partially-completed provisional results by legally-stipulated time of 2:00 a.m. in only four constituencies. The complete provisional result has to be prepared by 10:00 a.m. the day following the polling day.

While the parliament may need to reform the Elections Act, 2017 in light of the operational realities as well as plug the persisting loopholes in the election result management process, the ECP must probe the non-compliance of Returning Officers of its instructions to ensure electoral transparency and to determine responsibility as per Section 55 of the Elections Act, 2017, which empower the Election Commission to take action against erring election officials, public servants and persons in the service of Pakistan.

ASIA

China launches $138bn bond sale

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China will start selling the first batch of 1 trillion yuan ($138 billion) of ultra-long term private government bonds on Friday to help revive the economy.

The central government will begin such sales this year by issuing 30-year bonds, according to a statement from the Ministry of Finance. According to Bloomberg, this ends months of speculation about when the bonds, only the fourth of their kind in 26 years, will be launched after a sweeping plan was announced in March.

According to the report, President Xi Jinping’s government is stepping up financial support to help an economy under pressure from the housing crisis and weak consumer confidence. Government spending on infrastructure, which can be financed through bonds, will play a key role in helping China achieve its annual growth target of around 5 per cent, above economists’ forecasts.

Australia & New Zealand Banking Group’s Xing Zhaopeng said the increase in gross domestic product could be as much as 1 percentage point.

“The timing of the bond issue is likely aimed at offsetting the impact of protectionist tariffs the US has threatened to impose on Chinese goods,” Zhaopeng said, noting the uncertainty ahead of a Communist Party meeting on reforms in July.

The 20-year and 50-year bonds will be sold on 24 May and 14 June respectively. Bond auctions will continue until the last batch of 30-year bonds goes on sale in November. The ministry did not disclose the amount of bonds to be sold.

Bloomberg announced the private government bond sale on Monday. The issue will include 300 billion yuan of 20-year bonds, 600 billion yuan of 30-year bonds and 100 billion yuan of 50-year bonds, according to people familiar with the matter, who requested anonymity because the information is private.

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US, Australia, Japan and Philippines plan more naval exercises to counter Beijing’s influence

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The defence chiefs of the United States, Japan, Australia and the Philippines have announced plans to hold more naval exercises as they seek to increase cooperation against China.

The officials met at the US Marine Corps base Camp H.M. Smith in Hawaii for a series of bilateral and joint talks.

The meeting is part of US efforts to increase cooperation among its allies to counter Beijing’s influence in the region.

The quadrilateral talks come less than a year after the first quadrilateral meeting between the countries’ defence chiefs on the sidelines of the Asian security forum known as the Shangri-La Dialogue.

As tensions rise in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, where the four countries’ militaries conducted their first joint patrols in April, the countries are strengthening defence ties by focusing on maritime cooperation. This week, the US and the Philippines conducted live-fire exercises in the disputed waters, while four Chinese ships fired water cannon at a Philippine vessel for violating territorial waters.

US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin, who hosted the meeting, said at the joint press conference that the four countries wanted to “conduct more naval exercises and activities” to improve the interoperability of their forces.

Austin criticised China’s recent actions as “irresponsible behaviour” that “flouts international law” and recalled the mutual defence treaty with the Philippines: “I can only say that you have heard me and the President say many times that our commitment to the treaty is unwavering.”

Similarly, Philippine Defence Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr. called the discussion of hypothetical scenarios “unproductive”. He said the quadrilateral meeting was about sending a common message in the face of a “unilateral declaration by a single actor”.

Australian Defence Minister Richard Marles said his counterparts discussed the “increased tempo” of defence exercises in the face of global challenges to the “rules-based order”.

Japanese Defence Minister Minoru Kihara said the Mutual Access Agreement (RAA) negotiated with the Philippines will strengthen bilateral relations and help advance maritime cooperation among the four countries.

“We are united in strongly opposing any attempt to unilaterally change the status quo in the South China Sea through the use of force or any activity that would raise tensions in the region,” he said.

The bilateral meeting between Kihara and Austin followed a summit between US President Joe Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida in Washington in April. The two sides also announced plans to hold a “2+2” meeting between their leaders and senior defence officials.

The defence ministers of the US, Japan and Australia also held their 13th trilateral defence ministers’ meeting and signed an agreement on defence science and technology cooperation.

Containment strategy

Beijing believes that Washington, through its allies in the region, is pursuing a strategy of containment of China and raising tensions in the Asia-Pacific.

In a speech last year, Chinese President Xi Jinping described the United States as “the power behind the containment, encirclement and suppression” of China. The Biden administration denies this.

Financial Times columnist Edward Luce, who was also a speechwriter for US Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers during the Clinton administration, had previously taken up this containment debate.

Luce stated that the US policy of containment of China is now very obvious as follows: “The original idea of containment, set out in George Kennan’s 1947 Foreign Affairs article, was more modest than the undeclared containment that is now US policy.”

“Kennan’s advice was twofold: Stop the expansion of the Soviet empire; and promote Western democracy,” Luce wrote, describing the US approach to China today as “a higher level of containment”.

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Daesh claims gun attack killing seven worshippers in Afghan mosque

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The Daesh terrorist group has claimed responsibility for a gun attack on a minority Shiite mosque in western Afghanistan that killed seven people, including women and a kid.

The gunman stormed Imam Zaman mosque in Guzara district of Herat province and opened fire on worshippers as they were praying. Taliban Interior Ministry spokesman, Abdul Mateen Qani said that they have launched an investigation on the shooting. The Imam of the mosque was among those killed and the attacker fled the scene. Police in coordination with the defense forces are chasing the Daesh shooter.

I strongly condemn the attack on the Imam Zaman mosque, former Afghan president Hamid Karzai said on X. I consider this terrorist act to be against all religious and human standards. I have expressed my deepest condolences to the families of the victims of this tragic incident,” he furthered.

Unfortunately, once again, a number of our dear compatriots were martyred and a number of others were injured in a terrorist attack on the worshipers of the Imam Zaman mosque, said Dr. Abdullah Abdullah, former head of high peace council.

Daesh targeted defenseless worshippers

“While I consider the cowardly attack on our defenseless countrymen to be against Islamic and humanitarian standards, I pray for the martyrs and wish rapid recovery for the wounded.

The United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) also condemned the attack, calling for urgent protection measures for the country’s Shia communities.

UNAMA had reported  that at least seven people, including a child were killed in the attack.

Victims of of the deadly Imam Zaman Mosque attack in Herat were laid to rest.

The agency stressed the need for “investigations, accountability for perpetrators, and enhanced protection measures for Afghanistan’s Shia communities.”

Richard Bennett, the UN Special Rapporteur on human rights in Afghanistan said that violence against Shia Hazara worshippers must be stopped.

All Afghans must be able to pray in peace

“I condemn the killing of Shia Hazara worshippers at a mosque in Guzara, Herat. All Afghans must be able to pray in peace. I urge prevention, protection and justice for Hazara/Shia who continue to be targeted, including in Herat. Condolences to the families and community,” he said.

Countries like Turkey, Iran, Japan, and other regional countries also condemned the attack and assured to stand beside the Afghans in their fight against any sort of terrorist groups.

Daesh, or the Islamic State (IS) is considered as one of the biggest rivals of the Taliban as they frequently target schools, mosques, shrines, hospitals, public places, religious gatherings and sacred sites of the Shiite Muslims and Shiite areas throughout the country.

Shiitte mosque attack in Herat is caused to create fear among Hazara people

A female Hazara in a video message to Haraci, said that the recent Daesh attack on the Shiite mosque in Herat has created fear and panic among Hazaras and Shiites. She added that instead of condemning, the international community should act to prevent such attacks in the future.

Daesh has intensified deadly attacks against innocent Afghans since August 2021 when the Taliban seized power following the chaotic departure of the foreign troops from Afghanistan after 20 years.

Despite the Taliban claiming that they have maintained security, Daesh was able to carry several deadly attacks, even targeting high-ranking Taliban officials inside their offices.

Daesh killed Balkh governor inside his office, while three other Daesh bombers exploded their suicide vest among a gathering of people during funeral ceremony. Daesh had also shown capability to attack foreign missions in Kabul. Daesh claimed responsibility for the attack on Pakistan and Russian embassies in Kabul. Daesh also attacked a Kabul hotel famous for Chinese guests.

The Taliban has pledged to protect religious and ethnic minorities, but rights monitors say the Taliban are doing little to make good on those promises.

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