ASIA
Afghanistan-Iran and its water rights

A dam near completion on the Helmand River in Afghanistan has become the center of disagreement between Afghanistan and Iran as both the neighbors’ dispute over water rights.
Afghanistan is considered as a self-sufficient water country but the irregularity and lack of structure has made it one of the lowest levels of water storage capacity in the world. There is estimation of at least 75 billion cubic meters (BCM) of water annually, where much of it is coming from big river basins such as the Amu, Helmand, Harirud-Murghab and Kabul. Mainly, these waters flow to the neighboring countries including Iran, Pakistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.
Afghanistan has failed to bring its water under control in the last 20 years or at least make a good deal with its neighbor over it. There was some “water strategy” on the paper to regularize the inflow of water, but apparently it was in vain. This came when the Afghan farmers moved to the urban centers to secure their livelihoods due to lack of water irrigation and insufficient water that badly affected their agricultural output.
At the same time, Afghanistan becomes an electricity-importer state while some of its water from major rivers, including Helmand River, flows to the neighboring countries. Afghanistan had decided to supervise these waters and tried to build dams to generate electricity.
In that purpose, the Afghan government has started to invest in construction of new dams in the Helmand River, a tributary considered the lifeline of water in Afghanistan, and its basin covers approximately 49pc of the surface area of the country.
But apparently Iran is not happy with the process and after failing to reach any consensus on the area of diplomacy, now it has tried to threaten the Afghan government to reopen the flow of water.
Iran warns Afghanistan over water rights
Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi has openly called on the Afghan leaders not to violate water rights of the Iranian people and said his government is determined to defend this right.
Raisi warned the Taliban not to violate water rights of the people of Sistan and Baluchistan over their shared Helmand River, and called on the Taliban to take his world “seriously”.
Raisi also said that the Taliban should allow Iranian hydrologists to check the water levels of the river.

President Ebrahim Raisi during the inauguration ceremony of a project to supply water from the Gulf of Oman Iran’s eastern cities on May 18, 2023.
This is not the stop point as his Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian also came up with the same warning and said Iran will use “pressure as a tool,” to make the Taliban agree to allow its water from the Helmand River to flow inside Iran.
Amirabdollahian raised the water issue during his trip to southeastern border provinces of Sistan and Baluchestan, where he is scheduled to follow up on the case of Iran’s water rights, which has not become a center of a dispute with its neighbor Afghanistan.
Based on the 1973 treaty between Iran and Afghanistan, Amirabdollahian said that the people of Iran’s Sistan and Baluchestan have “a natural right” to benefit from the water that flows into the country from Afghanistan.
Meanwhile, the Iranian Space Agency said satellite images showed that the Afghan government prevented water from reaching the Iranian side of the border in some places by creating numerous dams and diverting the flow of water.
The agency said it was ready to submit the images, captured by the Iranian-made Khayyam satellite, to the Foreign Ministry.
Afghan-Iran FMs spoke on phone
Meanwhile, Afghanistan’s acting foreign minister, Mawlavi Amir Khan Muttaqi held a telephonic conversation with Iranian counterpart Amirabdullahian, where the two sides discussed the expansion of cooperation in different sectors including trade, electricity, railway, common border, water and release of Afghan prisoners in Iran.
During the talk, Muttaqi expressed his satisfaction with the recent visit of the Afghanistan trade delegation headed by the country’s minister of commerce and industry to Iran, and stressed that the two sides should intensify work to implement the Khaf-Herat railway project.
However, Muttaqi said that due to a drop in rainfall in the western parts of Afghanistan, the country has seen a significant drop in the amount of water in the Helmand River.
Taliban Spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid also said that due to severe drought, the water levels have dropped but said Kabul is “committed” to fulfill its obligation in the water treaty.
Inappropriate statements harm ties
At the same time, Mujahid warned Iran over “inappropriate statements”, saying such behavior could harm ties between the two countries and should not be repeated.
Iranian officials have always stressed the importance of the implementation of the 1973 Helmand River treaty between Iran and Afghanistan, but Kabul says that drought and climate change has significantly reduced the level of water. At the same time Iran has been suffering from drought for some 30 years, but has worsened over the past decade, according to the U.N.’s Food and Agriculture Organization. The Iran Meteorological Organization says that an estimated 97pc of the country now faces some level of drought.

Taliban Spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid said the Islamic Emirate is committed to the water treaty of Helmand signed in 1973 between Afghanistan and Iran.
To overcome the drought, Iran has called on the Taliban to open the gates of the Kajaki,” a major hydroelectric power dam in Afghanistan on the river’s path.
However, the dam has been dried up due to severe drought, but the Iranian authorities doubt Taliban’s statement and say they need to go and see from near.
“Until Iran’s technical experts are not allowed to visit the water flow and upstream of Hirmand according to the Hirmand Treaty, especially Article 5 of Protocol No. 1 of that treaty, any comments regarding the reduction in Hirmand water are not acceptable,” Iranian media Mehr reporting citing the country’s foreign ministry’s statement.
Diverting the river’s water flow and non-cooperation on the part of Afghan officials cannot be justified by making political statements, the statement reads.
Still friendly negotiations on table
Iran said that so far negotiations and talks have been held in a friendly atmosphere and by adhering to the principle of good neighborliness, and expects that such talks should continue to resolve any kind of issues as other options are also on the table.
The statement furthered that Iran has the right to use other options and reserves to take necessary actions to defend from its water interest, but called on Afghanistan to fulfill its responsibility based on the agreement.
Responding to the statement, Taliban said that the water agreement between Afghanistan and Iran was signed half a century ago in 1973 and is still valid.
“The Islamic Emirate is committed to implementing its obligations,” Taliban foreign ministry said in a statement, and accused the Iranian side of lacking information on current water level and circumstances in the region.
Taliban said that Iranian officials should first complete their information about Helmand water and then express their demand with appropriate words.
Taliban once again retreated that “inappropriate” statements can harm the political relations between the two neighboring countries which is not in the interest of each side.
ASIA
China vows to fight Trump’s tariff threat ‘to the end’

China has vowed to “fight to the end” if the US continues to threaten tariff increases. Fears are growing that the world’s two largest economies are preparing for a sharp decoupling.
The Chinese Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday that it would retaliate if US President Donald Trump carries out his threat to impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods.
A ministry spokesperson said in a statement on Tuesday, “If the US persists in implementing these increased tariff measures, China will resolutely take countermeasures to protect its rights and interests.” He added, “If the US insists on doing what it wants, China will fight to the end.”
Trump’s tariff plans have shaken global markets in recent days.
The S&P 500 index has lost more than $5 trillion in value since Trump shocked US trade partners with universal tariffs and “reciprocal” taxes, triggering warnings of faster inflation and slower economic growth, or outright recession. The index closed down 0.2% overnight after sharp fluctuations, and Asian markets rebounded. US stock futures were poised for a recovery on Tuesday.
Beijing said it would impose a 34% tariff on US imports after US tariffs on Chinese goods took effect. On Monday, Trump threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods if it did not remove retaliations, a move that would raise US tariffs on Chinese imports to over 120% by some estimates.
“The US threat to further increase tariffs is another mistake compounded by a mistake and once again exposes the coercive nature of the US side,” the ministry spokesperson said. “China will never accept this,” he added.
Beijing supported its threat of retaliation by fixing the exchange rate of its currency, the renminbi, at 7.20 Rmb per dollar—its lowest level since September 2023—a sign that it may use devaluation to offset Trump’s tariffs.
During the first Trump administration, Beijing had allowed its currency to fall to offset the impact of tariffs. On Tuesday morning, the freely traded offshore renminbi weakened, crossing the 7.35 Rmb per dollar threshold for the first time since February.
“I don’t think Beijing will back down,” said Lynn Song, ING’s chief economist for Greater China. “This may be a situation about who will blink first,” she continued.
Song added, “At this point, it looks more like a test of endurance—basically, who will feel the pain first and who will have to come to the table with a slightly weaker bargaining position.”
The US agreement to begin negotiations with Japan on tariffs caused shares there to rise after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tokyo would “take priority because they came forward very quickly.”
Chinese markets rose on Tuesday after experiencing major declines on Monday. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 3%, led by Chinese companies listed in the region, while the mainland’s CSI 300 index rose 0.3%.
China’s financial regulators and state fund managers pledged to support the country’s stock market on Tuesday. Numerous Chinese companies also announced share buybacks.
Chinese experts said that while the world’s second-largest economy would suffer from Trump’s trade turmoil, Beijing would maintain its stance rather than yield to Washington.
“There is no chance that Beijing will yield to Trump’s intimidation,” said Gao Jian, a Shanghai-based foreign policy expert from Tsinghua University’s Center for International Security and Strategy.
Shi Yinhong, a government advisor and professor at Renmin University, said that US-China trade would “largely vanish,” but that Beijing’s tough approach was unlikely to change.
“China stands out as the only country in the world that has taken a uniquely tough and uncompromising position in response to Trump’s tariff war,” Shi added, predicting that a new global trade paradigm would be “extremely disadvantageous for China.”
ASIA
South Korea: Debate erupts over constitutional revision

Lee Jae-myung, leader of the opposition Democratic Party (DP) in South Korea, stated on Monday that he agrees the Constitution should be revised. However, he added that the immediate focus should be on resolving the social unrest stemming from former President Yoon Suk Yeol’s unsuccessful martial law proposal.
Lee’s statement came a day after National Assembly Speaker Woo Won-sik suggested holding a national referendum on constitutional revision before the presidential election, which must occur within 60 days following Yoon’s removal from office by the Constitutional Court this past Friday.
Lee effectively rejected Woo’s proposal, stating, “Constitutional revision is necessary, but ending the insurrection must come first.”
In addition to the impeachment, Yoon faces separate criminal charges related to insurrection for the brief martial law he declared on December 3.
Lee conditionally agreed to the amendment, pointing out the legal challenges of holding a referendum in conjunction with the election, given that early voting is not permitted for referendums under current law.
“If the National Referendum Act is revised and a constitutional amendment becomes practically feasible, we can do it immediately,” he said.
Lee conditionally supported a constitutional amendment that reflects the spirit of the 1980 pro-democracy uprising in Gwangju and tightens the requirements for declaring martial law.
Lee, who narrowly lost to Yoon in the 2022 presidential election, is seen as a leading candidate in the upcoming race. The government is expected to approve June 3 as the election day at Tuesday’s cabinet meeting.
ASIA
China announces 34% retaliatory tariff on US imports

Beijing has announced it will impose an additional 34% tariff on imports from the US, retaliating against taxes announced this week by Donald Trump in line with his aggressive trade agenda. This rate is the same as that announced by the US President against China.
The Ministry of Commerce announced on Friday that the tariff will apply to all imported goods of US origin starting from April 10.
Following the US President’s announcement of 34% “reciprocal” tariffs in addition to existing customs duties, taxes applied to Chinese exports will exceed 60%.
Beijing has condemned the US’s new taxes as “a typical act of unilateral bullying” that “does not comply with international trade rules and seriously damages China’s legitimate rights and interests.”
Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun criticized the US’s “reciprocal tariffs” on Thursday, stating that the move seriously violates World Trade Organization rules and undermines the rules-based multilateral trading system.
The spokesperson stated, “China strongly opposes the US’s move and will resolutely take countermeasures to protect its legitimate interests.”
This swift response indicates that Beijing will also play hardball against the US.
Previously, US President Trump had stated that he was willing to make a deal in exchange for Beijing approving the sale of social media company TikTok.
As part of the retaliatory measures, Beijing also imposed export controls on 16 American companies and suspended the eligibility of six US-linked companies to export to China.
Eleven more US companies, including US drone manufacturer Skydio, were added to the unreliable entities list. In addition, China will place further restrictions on the export of certain rare earth minerals.
News of the tariffs on Thursday wiped 2.5 trillion USD from US markets, which experienced their steepest declines since 2020.
According to China’s cabinet State Council, the Chinese tariff will take effect from April 10.
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